Texas A&M Have What It Takes To Be Our NCAA Basketball Pick Over KY

Charles Stark

Saturday, February 20, 2016 4:43 PM GMT

Saturday, Feb. 20, 2016 4:43 PM GMT

These teams are at a pick right now, will Kentucky' recent resurgence continue or will the Aggies rejuvenate their season? Let's review the odds for our NCAA basketball pick.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Texas A&M +1.5
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

NCAA basketball odds experts have this game right now at -1.5 and the total around 142 . The earliest lines had Texas A&M as a slight one point favorite, but the line has now dropped. That makes sense considering how well Kentucky has played recently, but for my selection I will back Texas A&M at home.

 

Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky is averaging 78.8 points per game while shooting 47.3% from the field, and allowing 67 points per game on 39.4% shooting from the field. On the season they are 12-14 overall against the spread, and 4-7 on the road. As mentioned, they have won their last four in a row, but three of those were at home and their game at South Carolina was the best game they have played all season. Despite the fact they have been playing better I am not sold yet on this Kentucky squad just yet and they face a Texas A&M team that can be very tough at home. Just last season the Wildcats went into double OT against Texas A&M to squeak out the win, and that team was better than this year's. Offensively they rank in the better part of NCAA basketball in overall and two point shooting percentage, as well as field goals made per game. However, they don't shoot from beyond the arc particularly well averaging just 35% on average, and their overall efficiency ranks in the bottom part of the top 100 teams. Defensively they have really pick things up recently, but again that has been mostly at home. They get out and defend the perimeter very well allowing just 8.8 opponent assist per game which ranks first in the country. They also rank in the top 20 of NCAA basketball in opponent overall and two point shooting percentage, as well as opponent effective field-goal percentage. The issue for them is on the road where they lack sometimes on the defensive side, on the season they go from allowing 62.2 points per game in Rupp Arena to 73.6 points per game on the road.

 

Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies average 75.9 points per game while shooting 45.8% from the field and allowing 65.4 points per game on 40.5% shooting from the field. On the season they are 9-10-2 overall against the spread, and 6-3-1 at home. Until just over a few weeks ago they were looking like one of the best teams in the country, but they fell into a serious funk losing five of their last seven games. However, except for one bad loss at Vanderbilt the other four losses were by a combined 12 points total, and only one of the losses was at home. This is just been a rough stretch that good teams go through some time, and I do think that the Aggies are a good team and I believe with Kentucky coming to town they will be fired up for the opportunity to show just that. Offensively they rank in the better part of the country in most categories, with all of their statistics naturally going up at home. They move the ball very well and average 17.3 assist per game which ranks 10th in the country. Defensively they are solid as well and rank as one of the better teams in the SEC allowing just 45.5% on opponent two point shots, and just 32.8% from distance. This is a good, balanced, and well coached team with a very good home court where they have only lost one game all season.

This is a solid play on a Texas A&M team that has struggled recently, but is still good enough to beat Kentucky. For one of your NCAA basketball picks I recommend taking the Aggies straight up at home as it is  very difficult for visiting teams to win there. Their home court advantage is one of the toughest in the league.

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