Our expert college basketball handicapper has picked 9 of his last 10 against the spread. Read on as Mark Lathrop picks out some teams with injury concerns that should be on your list to fade in February.
2015-16 NCAAB Record: 28-17-2, +9.30 Units
Injuries are a fact of life for all sports. But when it comes to college basketball a key injury can wreck a team’s season quickly. Mid-majors are especially vulnerable, as a few stars can anchor a starting five and make a team competitive night in and night out. With that, let’s take a look at some teams currently working their way through injury concerns, and how this should impact your NCAA Basketball picks.
Appalachian State, Sun Belt: 6-15 SU
The Mountaineers just lost most of their starting back court due to suspension (an injury of the mind?) this week. Guards Patrick Good and Kelvin Robinson were suspended o February 3rd. Appalachian State was already bad, but now they are down about 50 combined minutes of court time per game from these two. Fade the Mountaineers at will going down the stretch.
Creighton has lost 3 out of 5 games SU since starting point guard, Maurice Watson Jr., blew out his ACL on January 16th. Watson was averaging 12.9 points per game and had a season high 14 assists against Providence earlier in the year. Without him in the lineup look for the Creighton offense to struggle.
East Carolina, American Athletic: 11-13 SU
The Pirates just lost one of their starting point guards in B.J Tyson. Tyson injured his knee in mid-January and he has no timetable for returning. East Carolina was already 326th in the country in offense, and now they have 11.9 points per game to make up as well. East Carolina is 0-8 SU on the road this year.
Green Bay, Horizon League: 15-9 SU
The Phoenix are having a very respectable season this year, and unlike some of the teams above have been able to recover from the loss of guard Trevor Anderson due to a back injury. Green Bay is 3-1 SU without Anderson and his 9.8 points per game.
Illinois State, Missouri Valley: 19-5 SU
The Redbirds just lost a starting forward on their squad in 6’ 7”, 234 lb. MiKyle McIntosh. McIntosh was responsible for 13.5 points per game for Illinois State on the season. They’ve gone 2-1 SU in his absence, but just got throttled by Wichita State by 41 points. He’s only expected to be out for three weeks, so fade the Redbirds for the rest of February in the NCAAB Odds.
Indiana Hoosiers, Big 10: 15-9 SU
The Hoosiers (+7500 to win the National Championship at SportsInteraction) lost their leading scorer on January 26th when James Blackmon Jr. went down against Michigan. Indiana’s starting guard averaged 17.6 points per game and over 30 minutes of game time. They’ve gone 1-2 SU since the injury, with a significant drop in offensive production.
Louisville Cardinals, Atlantic Coast: 19-5 SU
The Cardinals lost their starting point guard and second-leading scorer in Quentin Snider, leaving Louisville with a 12.1 points per game sized hole to fill. They’ve been doing an admirable job without him, but defensive minded teams will give the Cardinals trouble. Look no further to their 71-55 loss to Virginia as a symptom of having your starting point guard out. Snider does not have a timetable for returning from his injury.