Team Trends Pointing to Under in Northwestern-Illinois Game

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, February 7, 2017 9:26 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2017 9:26 PM UTC

Poor-shooting Illinois heads upstate to Evanston on Tuesday night to face Northwestern in Evanston in a fun Big Ten matchup from Welsh-Ryan Arena and a series which has seen the Under cash 4 of the L5 times.

Odds Overview

Upstart Northwestern (18-5, 14-6 ATS) welcome Land of Lincoln rival Illinois (13-11 SU, 8-13 ATS) to Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston Tuesday night for this fun Big Ten matchup. Offshores currently have the Wildcats 5½- to 6-point favorites with NCAA Basketball odds showing the Total at a low 133½ . Northwestern is priced at -230 on the Moneyline with Illinois +210.

 Illinois Fighting Illini

In their last game at home in Champaign Saturday, the Fighting Illini lost to Minnesota, 68-59 as 2-point Underdogs (139½) as Kipper Nichols (16 points), Malcom Hill (13) and Maverick Morgan (12) were all in double-digits in the team’s 6th Loss (SU/ATS) in 7 games. Illinois was a pathetic 18.2% from 3-pointville (4-22) and 38.1% (24-63) from the Field, showing why so many of its games go Under the Total. The Illini are 3-7 ATS L10 and have played 5 straight Unders.

Illinois (73.5 PS-71.3 PA) is 1-6 ATS L7 vs. the Big Ten, 17-35-1 ATS L53 as Underdog of ½-6½ points, 8-20 ATS L28 as an Underdog and 4-15-1 ATS L21 Tuesdays. The Under is 5-0 the L5 Illinois games, 4-0 L4 as Underdog, 5-0 L5 against the Big Ten and 43-18 L61 but the Over is 7-1 L8 Fighting Illini Tuesday contests.


Northwestern Wildcats

Still in search of its elusive first trip to the Big Dance, Northwestern (#30, Pomeroy ranking) was ranked #25 last week, but the Wildcats (3-6-1 Home Under)—without G Scottie Lindsey—lost to #16 Purdue in West Lafayette last Wednesday, getting blown out 80-59 as 9½-point Underdogs (140½) as Bryant McIntosh (22 points) and Isiah Brown (11) were the only Cats in double-digits in a game in which they shot a dismal 14.3% (2-14) on 3’s in their first non-ATS cover in 6 games.

Northwestern (200/1 to win NCAA Championship) is 6-1 ATS L7 vs. Big Ten, 13-3 ATS L16 as chalk of ½-6½ points, 20-7 ATS L27 as Favorite and 19-7 ATS L26 overall. The Under is 4-0 the L4 Northwestern Home games, 5-1 its L6 vs. the Big Ten and 4-1 L5 meetings in this rivalry.


Series Trends, Best Betting Approach

Illinois has actually had the upper hand ATS against Northwestern (74.3 PF-64.4 PA) in this series, going 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings overall and 5-1 ATS L6 in Evanston while the Road team is 7-2 ATS L9. Expect the hosts Wildcats to shoot much better from long-distance here, while Illinois could struggle, making the Under a logical lean, with these two college basketball teams a combined 26-15-1 Under.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Northwestern 65 Illinois 54Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 134  Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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