SWAC Hoops Anyone? Conference Duo Not Great Bets Monday

Jay Pryce

Monday, December 11, 2017 1:41 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 11, 2017 1:41 PM UTC

The pickings are slim Monday night for those wishing to bet college basketball with just six games listed on the oddsboard. We’ve uncovered two bets worth considering, both games representing the SWAC: Alabama A&M at DePaul and Texas Southern at Oregon.

Alabama A&M at DePaul (-23)

Alabama A&M (0-8 SU, 0-3 ATS) is one of the worst D-I programs in the country, ranking 348th out of 351 per KenPom. It is winless this season and 2-35 SU since the start of 2016. The Bulldogs have not posted a winning record since 2004-05.

Out of the Southwest Athletic Conference, the Bulldogs are rarely listed on the college basketball oddsboard. Since 2006, it is 2-12 ATS in true road games, failing to cover a 15.1 average line by 8.5 points per game. Since the shot-clock change in 2015, the Tigers allow 88.4 points per game when catching points.

The 23 points are the most DePaul (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) has spotted a team under head coach Dave Leitao. The Blue Demons went 9-23 in the uber-tough Big East last season, but return four starters, including the talented Eli Cain (13.2 ppg, 3.6 apg). They enjoy a 4-game win streak following a heartbreak 89-79 overtime loss to Oregon. It’s the best run in two years for DePaul. Pick the Blue Demons to roll over a lost Bulldogs program. Lay the 23 points.

Free NCAAB Pick: DePaul -23Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Texas Southern at Oregon (-18.5)

Former Indiana head coach Mike Davis is winless to begin his sixth year in charge of Texas Southern (0-8 SU, 1-0 ATS), but he can point to the schedule-makers as part of the problem. The Tigers have played the toughest in the country per KenPom, including then-No. 13 Gonzaga, then-No. 2 Kansas and with No. 24 Baylor on deck Thursday. All contests have come on the road to boot. The program is the reigning Southwestern Athletic Conference champion, voted to repeat by the media prior to the season.

Davis’ squad is proving they can hang offensively, averaging 73.5 points. Sophomore guard Demontrae Jefferson (in photo), an All-SWAC first teamer, leads the bunch with 23.0 points and 3.5 assists per game. Three upperclassmen also post double figures: forward Donte Clark (17.4 ppg), Kevin Scott (12.6) and Trayvon Reed (11.1 ppg). The Tigers rank 180 in adjusted offensive efficiency nationally and are 3-point happy. Their 24.6 average attempts from the area are 73rd most.

Oregon (6-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) opened the season with four blowout wins, but has dropped three of its last four. To get back on track, head coach Dana Altman prioritized physical defense. It showed in a 95-65 win over Colorado State Friday night. Per KenPom, it ranks 57th in adjusted efficiency.

Altman has always preached guard play, pushing the pace, and wearing down opponents. The perimeter defense and rotation this year is outstanding. It allows just 9.4 opponent assists per tilt, and guard the arc at 28.0 percent. These strengths will haunt the Tigers late. Four of Davis’ starters play 30 minutes or more per game and Jefferson will struggle to find open looks. Altman’s Ducks are 6-0 SU and 2-0 ATS at home against SWAC opponents, winning by 20 or more in all but one. Lay the 18.5 points here, the Ducks will fly:

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HIGHLIGHT | Kenny Wooten and MiKyle McIntosh with back-to-back dunks! #GoDucks pic.twitter.com/yHgP5gSuqO

— Oregon Basketball (@OregonMBB) December 9, 2017

Free NCAAB Pick: Oregon -18.5Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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