Superior Defense Makes Indiana St. Our NCAA Basketball Pick Over Southern Illinois

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, February 10, 2016 4:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2016 4:55 PM UTC

The Southern Illinois Salukis meet the Indiana State Sycamores at the Hulman Center in Terre Haute, Indiana. Don't miss this betting preview and get our NCAA basketball picks.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Indiana St. -3
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


S. Illinois vs. Indiana St. (-4) 7:00 ET
This winner comes directly from our early week article entitled “Sharp's Tips To Make Better NCAA Basketball Picks." The S. Illinois Salukis visit Indiana St. for a 7:00 pm ET tip at the Hulman Center in Terre Haute, Indiana.  When these teams met earlier in the season, the Salukis garnered a (79-66) win in Carbondale at the SIU Arena. The combination of revenge for that loss, the strong home court of the Sycamores, Indiana St.’s previous game results, the phony schedule of the Salukis and the visiting team’s recent poor form all lead to this winning selection.

Under respected 4th year HC Barry Hinson, SIU started the season 18-3 SU, 7-1 SU in Valley play. A closer inspection shows that it was against the weakest schedule in the Missouri Valley. Not only did the Salukis devise an easy non-con slate, but the schedule maker also front loaded the easiest teams in the league in the first half of their schedule. Beginning with their games on January 28th, however, the Salukis have gone 0-4 SU ATS with losses to Evansville by 7, N. Iowa by 9 and Wichita St. by 21. But, the confirmation of their ineptitude came with their (73-59) home loss to LOY-Chi on Saturday. As a result of the recent demise, SIU has dropped to 7-5 SU in the league season (tied with Indiana St. for 4th place), as they vie for the coveted No. 4 seed in the upcoming MVC Tourney.

That loss by S. Illinois, however, was nothing compared to the embarrassment suffered by the Sycamores on Saturday night. As a 12 point road favorite, against the worst team in the league (Bradley), the Sycamores lost (63-58)! In that game, they made just 2/18 (3) pointers. Now, they return home to the Hulman Center, where they have played their best ball this season, going 7-3 ATS with 5/6 conference victories all by 7 or more points, including routs of Evansville (the 2nd best team in the league) 82-65 and N. Iowa (the 3rd best team in the league) 74-60. Combined with revenge for the earlier 13 point loss, it sets up a strong situation tonight.


Betting Analysis
This game has many of the situational factors that we look for in a College Basketball matchup. Our home team has a very strong home court on which they are playing with revenge. They come off an embarrassing loss in their previous game. And, they face a team who is overrated thanks to an easy, early schedule which has now disintegrated into negative momentum. Rounding out our situational advantage is the fact that we have the superior defense with the home-standing Sycamores allowing 68/41/31, while SIU is allowing 70/45/33.

I invite you to put the NCAA basketball odds in your favor and join me in my NCAA basketball pick on Indiana St. on Wednesday night.

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