Superior Defense Makes Florida St. Our NCAA Basketball Pick vs. Mississippi St.

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, December 16, 2015 3:55 PM GMT

NCAA basketball night action as the Mississippi State Bulldogs face the Florida State Seminoles. Get the best NCAA basketball odds analysis and picks to get the most profits from this matchup.

Mississippi St. vs. Florida St. (-11-) 9:00 ET ESPN2
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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Florida State Seminoles -12½
Best Odds Offered By Pinnacle

 

 

This mid-December non-conference matchup features SEC member Mississippi St. vs. ACC linchpin Florida St. Were this game being played on the gridiron, we would be eager to take the generous double digits with the SEC member. On the hardwood, it is a bit different with a clear advantage to the superior ACC team. That difference is magnified by a coaching change for the visitor.

 

Mississippi State
Ben Howland has taken the reins in Starkville. You will remember him as the highly successful headman at Pitt, prior to taking over UCLA in the early part of this millennium in which he led the Bruins to multiple Final Four appearances. Now, he has returned to the sidelines, where he will attempt to rejuvenate a Mississippi St. team who, although returning 4 starters, went just 13-19 SU last season and is expected to finish in the lower rung of SEC teams this year. True enough, the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS against the number. Those victories are a result of devouring outmatched creampuffs, E. Washington, Tenn-Martin, Texas Southern and Missouri St. In their only step-up game, they lost (105-79) to Miami, Fl. Last Saturday night, the Bulldogs fell (72-67) in their first road game at UMKC. Those results spell trouble, as their highly-regarded PG Newman adjusts to life in college ball.

Must Read: O/U NCAA Basketball Picks of the Day

Florida State
For veteran mentor Leonard Hamilton of Florida St., the turnover in his rotation is going far more smoothly. All 5 starters return to a 17-win team of last season, combined with the addition of highly-regarded freshman guards, Bacon and Beasley (who are averaging nearly 40 PPG), and the experience of PG Rathan-Mayes. This will be a backcourt that is capable of leading the Seminoles to the upper echelon of the ACC. As opposed to previous seasons, this is a much higher scoring Florida St. team, who is averaging 84 PPG after 8 contests. Along with the always tenacious Leonard Hamilton defense, it should lead to a comfortable double-digit victory in this matchup. No worry about motivation, as the 5 returning starters for the Seminoles well remember the 62-55 loss as 2 point road favorite in Starkville last season.

 

What's the Pick?
It is not often that we lay double digits with Hamilton and the Sems, who have long been a money-making machine for us in the role of underdog, but the combination of revenge from last year, the coaching change, the superior defense and the greater abilities on the offensive end of the floor, all add up to a comfortable double-digit win on their home court for Florida St. tonight. I invite you to put the NCAA Basketball odds in your favor and join me with my NCAA Basketball picks with the Florida St. Seminoles in college basketball action tonight.