Sunday NCAA Tourney Point Spread Picks of the Day

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, March 27, 2016 4:40 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 27, 2016 4:40 PM UTC

Our college basketball betting professional provides us with an insightful betting preview article on both of Sunday’s NCAA Tournament Odds. Find out which way he’s leaning on each of these contests.

Syracuse vs. Virginia
Syracuse played Virginia extremely tough on the road in these ACC rivals only meeting of the season. They were on the short end of a 73-65 final score in Charlottesville. However, it was a one possession game with inside two minutes left to play. The Orange just couldn’t convert on the offensive end, and then were forced to foul in an attempt to extend the game. They covered the contest as a 9.5 point underdog despite Virginia shooting 56%. As of today, that was the best any team has shot against Syracuse all season. On a positive note, the Orange was 13-30 (43.3%) from three point range in that loss at Virginia.

Syracuse has allowed a paltry 53.7 points per game, and held its opponents to meager 34.9% shooting during the first three rounds of NCAA Tournament action. Their vaunted 2-3 zone defense has been active, and they’ve received considerably improved play from its big men.

Virginia has garnered a reputation as being a very good defensive team and rightfully so. That really hasn’t been the case in their previous two NCAA Tourney wins over Butler and Iowa State. The Cavaliers allowed 70.0 points per game while allowing those two opponents to shoot 49.1%.

Despite the #1 versus #10 seed scenario which usually indicates a mismatch, I believe there’s plenty of underdog value in this contest. One of my Sunday NCAA Tournament picks will concur with that assessment.

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Free NCAA Tournament Pick:  Syracuse +8 -110
Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Notre Dame vs. North Carolina
Notre Dame has been somewhat lucky in their magic ride to the “Elite 8”. Their first three NCAA Tournament wins have come by just a combined 13 points. They’ve also been very fortunate in regards to what teams they’ve faced. Despite their #6 seed, Notre Dame has played against three opponents with higher seeds in #11 Michigan, #14 Stephen F. Austin, and #7 Wisconsin. They had to overcome a 12 point halftime deficit versus Michigan, and eventually won by 7. “The Fighting Irish” needed an offensive tap in with only 1.5 seconds left to win by 1 against Stephen F. Austin. During the Regional Semifinal against Wisconsin on Friday, Notre Dame came back from a late 5 point deficit to defeat Wisconsin by 5 in a game that was much closer than even the final score indicates.

North Carolina’s last two wins over Providence by 19 and by 15 against Indiana were especially impressive considering the quality of those opponents. They shot a blistering hot 52.1% in those contests, and had a massive 79-56 rebounding edge. The Tar Heels have been getting better as the tournament has progressed, and that’s not good for future opponents starting with Notre Dame. North Carolina has gone a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS in its last eight games as a favorite

You can’t help but think, the 31 point blowout loss Notre Dame sustained at the hands of North Carolina in the ACC Tournament, certainly will have a lingering effect. A strong case can be made that the top seeded Tar Heels have faced tougher opponents in this tournament than #6 seed Notre Dame has, and specifically so over the past two rounds.

Despite the sizable number, I don’t see much in a way of underdog value. Current NCAA Tournament odds provides me with a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

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Free NCAA Tournament Pick:  North Carolina -9 -108
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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