Seton Hall -1.5 over Butler for you NCAA Basketball Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, March 12, 2014 3:44 PM GMT

Wednesday, Mar. 12, 2014 3:44 PM GMT

The Seton Hall Pirates are surprising favorites against the Butler Bulldogs Wednesday night, as the two teams face off in the opening round of the Big East Conference Tournament. Our handicapper tells us where the best value lies for our college basketball picks.

Join SBR's 2014 NCAA Brackets Contest

Let’s take a closer look at the college basketball odds for this matchup at Madison Square Garden, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. 

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":261315, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

New environment 

Butler is playing in its third different conference tournament in three years, as it advanced to the semifinals of the Horizon League Tournament in 2012 and then reached the same round of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament a year ago.

The Bulldogs have advanced in league tournament play in each of the past eight seasons.

It’s important to point out that the program is 4-6 SU all-time when playing at this historic venue.

Revenge

Seton Hall was 0-2 SUATS versus Butler during the regular season—failing to cover the point spread by an average of 13.75 points in those contests.

College basketball handicappers are likely perplexed that the Pirates are listed as favorites on the SBR Odds page, considering they’ve gone 5-11 ATS when laying points versus foes this season.

The team has relied heavily on the three-point shot this season, which has proven to be troublesome against a Butler squad that leads the conference in defending the arc.

Reading the market

The Bulldogs are going to attract a good amount of action in the market due to their success against the Pirates, but they’ve gone 0-3 SU as neutral court underdogs of three or fewer points the last two-plus seasons.

Butler will need a major performance from sophomore guard Kellen Dunham, who leads the team in scoring 16.8 points a contest.

Senior leadership

The Pirates are capable of making some noise in this event, as they’ll likely start three seniors that average double figures offensively, with that group being led by Fuquan Edwin.

Edwin is scoring a team-high 14.7 points per game, but he’s someone to watch on both ends of the floor due to being named the Big East Defensive Player of the Year during the regular season.

Wednesday's Top NCAA Basketball Picks of the Day

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Pirates as one of their college basketball picks, as they’ve won all three of their first round tournament games since the 2011-12 campaign.

Big East Tournament Pick: Seton Hall Pirates -1.5

comment here