Series Dominance Makes Oregon -6.5 The NCAA Basketball Pick vs. Utah

Jake Walker

Saturday, February 6, 2016 7:57 PM UTC

Saturday, Feb. 6, 2016 7:57 PM UTC

The Utah Utes (17-6) travel to Matthew Knight Arena to take on the No. 16 Oregon Ducks (19-4). Oregon is favored by 6.5 points on the NCAA Basketball odds board and the total has not been set.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Oregon -6.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline 


Utah Utes
The Utah Utes saw their five-game winning streak come to an end with last Thursday's tough 71-69 loss at Oregon State. Gary Payton II had 20 points, seven assists and six rebounds to lead a furious second-half rally from Oregon State. Jakob Poeltl finished with 20 points and nine rebounds and Kyle Kuzma added 17 points in the setback.

Utah scores 78.8 points per game and shoots 48.6 percent from the floor and 35.0 percent from beyond the arc and they pull down 38.8 rebounds per game. The Utes allow 69.6 points per game and their opponents shoot 41.1 percent overall and 37.2 percent from three-point range and pull down 28.9 rebounds per game.

Jakob Poeltl averages team-bests with 17.4 points and 8.9 rebounds, Kyle Kuzma scores 11.7 points per game and Jordan Loveridge adds 11.1 points per game. 


Oregon Ducks
The Oregon Ducks have won five straight games to move to first place in the Pac-12 standings with an 8-2 record in conference play, a game ahead of the second place USC Trojans. Oregon is coming off an impressive 76-56 home win against Colorado. Elgin Cook led the way with 18 points and Chris Boucher added 12 rebounds and blocked six shots in the win.   

The Ducks average 78.2 points per game on 46.8 percent shooting overall and 34.4 percent shooting from three-point range and they pull down 36.6 rebounds per game. Defensively, Oregon allows 67.5 points per game and their opponents shoot 40.9 percent from the floor and 34.1 percent from beyond the arc.

Dillon Brooks leads Oregon with 16.3 points per game, Elgin Cook averages 13.7 points and 1.5 steals and Tyler Dorsey adds 13.4 points per game.


Betting Trends
Utah is 9-11-1 ATS, 1-3 ATS as an underdog, 2-3 ATS after a straight up loss and 4-5-1 ATS after an ATS loss.

Oregon is 12-7-1 ATS, 7-3 ATS vs. conference opponents, 9-6 ATS as a favorite and 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.


Final Analysis
Oregon is a 6-point favorite on the NCAA Basketball odds board and the total has not been set. The Ducks won the first meeting against the Utes 77-59 at Utah. Dillon Brooks had 21 points and eight rebounds for Oregon and Brandon Taylor led Utah with 12 points. Oregon shot 55 percent for the game while Utah hit just 34 percent of their shots, although many were at close range. Utah has been playing better but Oregon is on a roll and they looked extremely dominant in the first meeting against. I also like the Ducks for my NCAA Basketball picks because they have won their last five games against the Utes. including a 67-64 victory in last year's Pac-12 Tournament.

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