SEC Early Tournament Betting Basketball Breakdown

Kentucky Wildcats player

Sunday, March 5, 2017 7:57 PM GMT

Since John Calipari arrived in Kentucky, there has been no mystery who the favorite is to win the SEC tournament when it comes to betting basketball. It's been two choices, the Wildcats or the Field.

In 2017, at least there is one new element, as the Florida Gators have shown they can compete with the 'Cats and choosing Kentucky to win it all for college basketball picks is not a slam dunk.

Looking over the rest of the field, the first thing that at least popped into my head was the 2000 movie, the "Undesirables". When looking at the various factors against the college basketball odds, you should examine these elements.

 

Could Win and Cover One Game

The first round games are #12, Miss. State vs. #13 LSU and #11 Auburn vs. #14 Missouri. Two of these crummy teams will advance and while we do not have spreads on them yet, Auburn should advance and most likely cover because just have the better team. Mississippi State is a young team that has no size and as bad as the LSU is, they will have at the very least a chance to win and cover. You might have noticed that three of the four nicknames have Tigers in this group, hard to find much more toothless than this trio.

In the second round, #8 Georgia faces #9 Tennessee and this matchup this has all the markings of a 'Pass' contest, as it is nearly impossible to predict which team will show up game to game. A mood ring might be of more value than analytics in this confrontation. However, of note, the "Bull Dawgs" are 11-3 ATS outside Athens.

No. 5 Alabama's defense should be enough to outlast Miss. State or LSU and the way those two clubs play defense, they will even make the Crimson Tide's offense look good.

Good conflict with No.7 Vanderbilt taking on No.10 Texas A&M. The Commodores have really come down the stretch playing well at 5-1 and 6-0 ATS and would seem to have the confidence factors and will definitely have hometown edge in Nashville.

No.6 Mississippi beat Auburn twice this year (2-0 ATS), but only by three and six points, so if you are looking for upset, the Rebels could be primed to go down since the Tigers played them so tough.

 

Could Win Two or More Games and Wear SEC Crown

In the upper bracket, advance No.1 Kentucky to the Finals, but don't assume No. 4 South Carolina is a lock for the semis, as their defense has really worn down the last nine games of the season, allowing 71 or more points seven times compared to a season average of 64.5 PPG.

In the bottom part of the SEC bracket, Vandy could have second shot at knocking off #2 Florida in a week in the quarterfinals. I don't think they will but watch for the spread, with the Commodores having a shot to cover at this time.

If the Gators advance, waiting in the semis should be #3 Arkansas, whose only defeat since Feb.7th has been in Gainesville 78-65 (6-1 SU & ATS). The Razorbacks should give Florida a game on a neutral court, so watching for a good number could matter against the sportsbook.

Hate to be chalky, but the SEC in basketball is structured this way and to bet against a Kentucky and Florida finals does not make sense and once again Calipari's crew cuts down the nets.

 

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