Saturday's Top Value College Hoops Predictions

Mark Lathrop

Saturday, March 11, 2017 7:14 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 11, 2017 7:14 PM UTC

It’s time for some tickets to be cashed for March Madness, and here we have two games with serious implications for small conferences as we head toward Selection Sunday.

Weber State vs. North Dakota

My Eastern Washington Eagles got knocked out of the Big Sky Conference tournament yesterday by North Dakota, and my buddy’s Idaho Vandals got knocked out by Weber State. Now that emotion is out of the way, let’s cash some tickets.

North Dakota has been on quite a run coming into this point, and nothing should suffice for the Fighting Hawks other than a ticket to the Big Dance. They come into this game on a 15-3 SU run, including two wins over today’s foe, Weber State. The first was an 83-77 win at home, then a more impressive 77-68 win as a 6-point road underdog. They go for the third win of the season against the Wildcats here, and conventional wisdom says they will struggle to attain that third victory. Tell that conventional wisdom to the St. Mary’s Gaels and let me know how that went.

North Dakota’s undersized guards found no trouble scoring in that last game at Weber State, as they shot 51.6% from the field. It was a continuation of a trend that saw them shoot a hot 56.6% from the floor in the first match up. The Fighting Hawks also enjoyed considerable rebounding advantages in both games played this year. Weber State’s leading scorer, Jeremy Senglin, was able to put up more than 20 points in each game, although his supporting cast left the Wildcats short of the mark. Senglin’s ability to score his fair share has me adding the Over of 143.5 to this game in addition to North Dakota -2 at 5DImes as two of my Saturday college basketball picks.

Free NCAAB Picks: North Dakota -2 & OVER 143.5Best Lines Offered:  at 5Dimes

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Colorado State vs. Nevada

The two top seeds in the Mountain West Conference tournament meet up on Saturday for a ticket to March Madness. Nevada’s offense enjoys advantages over Colorado State that should be enough to get them over the top

Nevada comes into the Mountain West Conference tournament final on a scorching 7-0 SU and ATS run, including a convincing 85-72 victory over Colorado State as a 7-point favorite just a week ago. Colorado State hung around until just after halftime in that game, before the Wolf Pack picked up the defense and the Rams went cold from the floor – shooting just 38.7%. Nevada outrebounded Colorado State 43-33, picked up 21 assists versus just 15, and forced more turnovers than they allowed. They won in every facet of the game.

Colorado State’s 6’ 4” guard, Gian Clavell, had a heroic effort in the first match up, putting up 33 points and 9 rebounds along the way. That was well over his season average and a feat I don’t expect him to repeat today. Nevada was able to hold Colorado State’s two other scoring threats, Emmanuel Omogbo and Prentiss Nixon, well under their season averages this year. If Clavell just returns to average then the Rams will be in big trouble. Look for Nevada’s 14-5 ATS conference record to get even better today and take the Wolf Pack -5 at BetOnline

Free NCAAB Pick: Nevada -5 Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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