Recent Trends Point To 'Under' As The NCAA Basketball Pick In Kansas vs. Oklahoma St.

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, January 19, 2016 3:28 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2016 3:28 PM UTC

Let’s dive in head-first to the deep end and see if we can find a profitable NCAA basketball pick from this hardwood affair tonight between the Kansas Jayhawks & Oklahoma St. Cowboys.

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Final Score Prediction: Kansas 73 - Oklahoma State 66
Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 143
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


Oklahoma State welcomes #3-ranked Kansas and Perry Ellis to Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater on Tuesday night for this Big 12 showdown where the Cowboys have actually beaten the Jayhawks two straight times on their Homecourt. But with Oklahoma State currently in the throes of a 4-game losing streak and Kansas ranked in the top three teams in the country in most polls, is taking the visitors and laying the lumber the prescription here or is playing the Total maybe a better route? 


Odds Overview
#3 Kansas at Oklahoma State: Stillwater, Oklahoma and Gallagher-Iba Arena is the site of the this Big 12 meeting on Tuesday night between #3-ranked Kansas (15-2, 4-1 Big 12) and host Oklahoma State (9-8, 1-4 Big 12) in a big early season conference game for both sides. NCAA basketball odds boards Offshore have opened up Kansas as 9½-point favorites (Bookmaker) with the Total (Points) set at 143 (Bookmaker). The Money Line (Winner) odds in this game sees Kansas as -500 Favorites with Oklahoma State priced at +340 (10Red) with the Oklahoma State Cowboys Team Total Points is set at 66½ (Over -130, Sky Bet) and the Kansas Jayhawks Team Total Points set at 75½ (Over -137, Sky Bet).


Kansas Jayhawks
Head Coach Bill Self and Kansas (10-5 ATS, 6-9 O/U) look like at least Sweet Sixteen material this season and here the Jayhawks catch Oklahoma State in a rough spot—playing poorly and without their leading scorer—even though the game is in Stillwater. Kansas (10/1 to win NCAA Championship, PaddyPower) is led in scoring by Perry Ellis (15.9 ppg, 7.0 rpg), Wayne Selden Jr. (14.9 ppg), Frank Mason III (13.2 ppg) and Devonte’ Graham (10.4 ppg) but in the Jayhawks last win on Saturday against TCU, it was a couple of five-star (High School) recruits who came through in the clutch in Cheick Diallo (4.8 ppg) and Carlton Bragg Jr. (4.7 ppg) in a 70-63 Road win against the Horned Frogs. Off the Kansas Bench, Bragg scored 10 points and grabbed 4 rebounds while Diallo added 9 points and 9 rebounds to help the then #1-ranked Jayhawks get over the hump. Kansas (85.8 PF-67.5 PA) only has 2 Losses this season, to (then) #13-ranked Michigan State (79-73) and to #11 West Virginia in Morgantown (74-63) last week.


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State (9-6 ATS, 7-8 O/U) and Head Coach Travis Ford have totally hit the skids of late, L4 straight and starting out Big 12 conference play with 4 Losses in its first Big 12 5 games, the lone Win coming against TCU followed by setbacks at Baylor, at #17 West Virginia, at #2 Oklahoma and at Texas in their last game. So, no real shame for the Cowboys (70.1 PF-65.5 PA) in that rugged schedule is from one of, if not the toughest College Hoops conference, the Big 12. In that 4th straight setback on Saturday, Oklahoma State (500/1 to win National Championship, William Hill) rallied furiously from a 40-25 Halftime deficit but just couldn’t catch the Longhorns at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin. The Cowboys were led in scoring by Leyton Hammonds who had 18 points and 9 rebounds, Jawun Edwards, who added 12 points and 8 rebounds and Tavarius Shine who supplied 14 points off the Bench for Oklahoma State (6-3 SU at Home). In this game last year in Stillwater, the Cowboys won outright as 1½-point underdogs, 67-62, as the game fell Under the Total of 134 points, the 4th straight meeting in this Big 12 series to do so (Under 6-4 L10 in series). Injury-wise, Oklahoma State has been without leading scorer, G Phil Forte (13.3 points) who has an injured Elbow and is Out Indefinitely.


Best Betting Approaches & Series Trends
Oklahoma State (#83 in Ken Pomeroy Basketball rankings) and Senior G Jeff Newbury (11.3 ppg, 5.2 rpg) will be seeking its 3rd straight win over Kansas as the GIA and even with fellow backcourt mate Forte out and with the mighty Kansas (#3 in Ken Pomeroy Basketball rankings) still in the Top 3 in most Polls across the nation, the student body will be present in Stillwater and they know this one’s nationally televised (ESPN2) and that the Jayhawks haven’t won here in those L3 dates. So, beware of the underdog and that almost double-digit chunk of points (9½, Bookmaker) as the Jayhawks and Ellis will probably be glad to just get out of Stillwater alive and win a Win if they can. Oklahoma State (6-4 ATS L10 in series) hasn’t been playing well but has been covering the Point Spread (Cowboys 6-2 ATS in its L8 overall) and the Cowboys are 12-4-1 ATS L17 games played on Tuesdays. Kansas is 7-3 ATS in its L10 games but has lost its L2 straight ATS and the Jayhawks are a dismal 4-10 ATS in their L14 vs. the Big 12, meaning that Kansas lines may be a little bit inflated with (Rock) chalk backers paying a little premium (and losing often). As far as Totals Trends in this series, the Under is 7-3 ATS L10 Oklahoma State games, the Under is 6-2 in the L8 Jayhawks games, the Under is 6-2 ATS L8 Kansas tilts vs. the Big 12 and, as mentioned, the L4 in this series have gone Under their respective Totals by 5, 11, 1½—even with OT—and 12½ points, making the Under the Trends NCAA basketball pick for this game.

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