Purdue vs. Michigan: NCAA Basketball Picks

Joe Freda

Thursday, January 24, 2013 4:38 PM GMT

Thursday, Jan. 24, 2013 4:38 PM GMT

Do the Purdue Boilermakers have enough momentum for a cashed ticket or will the Michigan Wolverines pull away as a double-digit fave? Read to find out where we believe that the best NCAA Basketball betting value lies.

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines came away with an 83-75 win over the No. 9 Minnesota Golden Gophers in last week’s marquee battle, collecting as 2 ½-point road dogs. John Beilein’s troops return home in Thursday’s duel with the Purdue Boilermakers, who have held foes to 50 PPG in their last three matchups.

Wolverines, Hardaway hold off Gophers

Michigan held on for last Thursday’s win over Minnesota after a 36-30 halftime lead, while lighting the floor up for 54.9 percent field shooting. The Wolverines drained 10-of-20 shots from three-point land, while outrebounded, 30-20. 

Wolverines guard Tim Hardaway notched team-highs of 21 points and six boards, while adding a pair of blocks. Michigan’s Trey Burke logged nine assists, while finishing with 18 points and two steals.

The contest’s combined 158 points soared above the ‘total’ of 139, lifting the OVER to 6-2 in the Wolverines’ last eight games. Hardaway united with mate Mitch McGary for three steals each, while Michigan hit 17-of-25 free throws.

Boilermakers, Byrd thrash WVU

Purdue cashed a third straight ticket in Saturday’s 79-52 triumph over the West Virginia Mountaineers, pulling away as a 3 ½-point home favorite. The Boilermakers allowed a sparse 29.3 percent field shooting from WVU, holding off the Mountaineers after a 37-23 halftime lead.

Boilermakers senior D.J. Byrd notched 17 points, while adding a team-high four assists. Purdue’s Rapheal Davis united with Byrd to drain 6-of-8 shots beyond the arc en route to logging one steal each.

The lopsided affair’s combined 131 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 127 ½, moving the OVER to 4-1 in the Boilermakers’ last five contests. Purdue’s A.J. Hammons logged three of his side’s seven blocks, while the Boilermakers outrebounded West Virginia, 39-27.

[gameodds]14/218538/43/us[/gameodds]

Back the Boilermakers as road dogs

NCAA basketball betting odds opened Michigan as a 16-point home favorite, with early betting action on Purdue dropping the number to 15. The ‘total’ was first posted at 134 ½, remaining unchanged after initial wagers.

I am tailing the early ‘steam’ and adding Purdue to my college basketball betting ticket as a big dog in this spot. The Boilermakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four visits to Ann Arbor, including a 75-61 upset win last February as five-point dogs.

Purdue’s A.J. Hammons leads the Big Ten Conference in blocks (2.1 BPG), while mate Ronnie Johnson ranks in the group’s top 10 for assists (3.4 APG). Boilermakers guard Terone Johnson put up 22 points in last Feburary’s victory over Michigan, connecting from the field at a 9-for-12 clip.

Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last six home dates against foes with losing road records and could take Purdue too lightly here. The Wolverines come off back-to-back affairs last week with ranked rivals and may find themselves easing back into action after a full week off.

Look for Purdue to stay within cashing range here, putting up just enough points at Crisler Center to get the money.

comment here