Which games have the highest probability of ending with an upset? Let's examine two matchups that appeare to hold value as we get our sports picks prepared for the day.
Wichita State Shockers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
There's two teams in the Missouri Valley Conference that are head and shoulders above the rest, and that's Wichita State and Northern Iowa. The two sides meet up in Northern Iowa today, and it's the road team that is favored in the college basketball betting odds. The Shockers are favored by 2.5 points.
Following a loss to George Washington, Wichita State has been on a roll, winning nine consecutive games to improve to 19-2 overall. The Shockers have yet to lose in conference play, which means they're the top dogs in the MVC right now. Ron Baker has been the team's best player thus far, averaging 16.1 points per game, but he's going to have to have one of his best games if Wichita State is to head back home with a win.
Northern Iowa has the exact same overall record as the Shockers, but they've lost one team in conference action. That loss came to Evansville, but much like Wichita State, the Panthers have responded to a loss by going on a serious heater. They've won eight consecutive games, so they've built up quite a head of steam too. Northern Iowa will be leaning heavily on the production of Seth Tuttle, who is averaging 15.1 points, 6.7 rebounds and 3.1 assists a contest.
We have no doubt it's going to be a highly competitive affair here on Saturday, considering how much is on the line. March isn't too far off, so the games are getting more important with each passing week.
For today though, we feel good about an upset in this huge conference showdown, so the Panthers will take up the first spot in our NCAA Basketball picks of the day. Back Northern Iowa.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Northern Iowa Panthers +2.5 (and on ML)
Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Well then. This one's going to be good.
The Blue Devils have run into a lot of trouble in conference play so far, having already lost three times. This, by the way, came after a perfect non-conference part of their schedule. Duke just lost on the road against Notre Dame and is now 4-3 in conference play, which has them facing a long road back to the top. We know the talent is there with Coach K's team - they've got the most dominant player in college basketball in Jahlil Okafor, but they've also got other playmakers like fellow freshman Justise Winslow, . The departure of Rasheed Sulaimon doesn't concern us much, as these Blue Devils have plenty of depth to keep plugging the holes and prosper.
Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have still yet to lose this season and will be at home. This sets up as a great spot for Virginia, but a closer investigation leads us in a different way than you may anticipate. We think the best college basketball betting value lies with Duke in this situation.
Why? We're not very impressed at all with the Cavaliers' strength of schedule thus far. Things are about to get a lot tougher, and we think it starts with this matchup with a Duke team that's going to be motivated to get back on the winning side of things. Coach K's crew is going to have to be at their very best to have any chance, we know that.
With your college basketball picks, consider the Blue Devils against the spread, and you may also want to have a think about a potential straight up win too, as it's priced at a very nice number. Enjoy what should be an amazing game!
NCAA Basketball Pick: Duke Blue Devils +6 (and on ML) at BookMaker