Pro Capper Predicts Low Scoring Cincinnati/Butler Game

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, December 10, 2016 3:56 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 10, 2016 3:56 PM UTC

SBR college basketball handicapping professional Ross Benjamin provides us with a betting preview on today’s premier contest game Cincinnati and Butler. He has an insightful outlook on the total in this contests and concludes by giving his college basketball free pick.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Butler Bulldogs

A couple of nationally ranked teams collide on Saturday afternoon when #16 Butler hosts #22 Cincinnati. The opening tip at legendary Butler Fieldhouse is slated for 4:30 PM ET, and it will be televised by Fox Sports1. These teams met a season ago, and Butler was a 78-76 winner as a 5.5-point underdog at Cincinnati, and that game easily went over the total of 135.5.

At the time of this writing (7:15 AM ET), college basketball betting odds at Bookmaker has Butler as a 3.5-point favorite, and there’s a posted total of 129.0. If you’re looking for one of the best sportsbooks to wager with, I’d highly advise An extremely credible online sports betting rating guide gives Bookmaker an A+ grade, and that mark had held steady since February of 2007.


Good Defensive Teams

Cincinnati has traditionally been a stout defensive team under current head coach Mick Cronin and his predecessor Bob Huggins. This year has been no different. The Bearcats have held their opponents to 58.1 points per game, 37.1% shooting, and allowed them to convert on just a paltry 29.5% of their 3-point attempts.

Butler is coming off a 72-71 upset loss as a 10.0-point favorite at Indiana State on Wednesday. It was the most points Butler allowed this season, and Indiana State converted on an alarming 45% of its 3-point attempts. That certainly was an uncharacteristic defensive performance by Butler, considering they’ve limited opponents to 61.7 points scored per game, and held them to 32.5% from 3-point territory this season. I’m looking for Butler to turn in an exemplary defensive effort on Saturday against Cincinnati.


Successful Betting System on Total

Cincinnati held Bowling Green to 36.8% and Iowa State to 36.7% shooting from the field during their previous 2 games. Cincinnati and Butler have both converted on an identical 67.8% of their free throw attempts this season. I’ve already alluded to the current total on this game being 129.0. The combination of this statistical data qualifies for an exceptionally prosperous college basketball betting angle.

Any road team (Cincinnati) with a total of 120.0 to 129.5, involved in a game where both they and their opponent (Butler) convert on just 65% to 69% of its free throw attempts for the season, and that road team (Cincinnati) is coming off 2 consecutive games in which they held their opponents to 37% or less shooting from the field, resulted in those contests going 30-9 (76.9%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 39 contests was 125.8, and there was a combined 118.0 points scored per game. Furthermore, 22 of the 39 games (56.4%) stayed under the total by 7-points or more.

Considering the defensive prowess of both teams, and the above mentioned successful betting system, I’m predicting a low scoring affair for one of my college basketball picks.


Free NCAAB Pick: Under 129.0Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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