Pick Tennessee +2 vs. Michigan for NCAA Tournament Betting

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, March 25, 2014 7:44 PM GMT

The Tennessee Volunteers have been one of the more impressive teams in the Big Dance, which makes them a dangerous underdog against the Michigan Wolverines Friday.

Shooting the lights out
Michigan showed why its one of the best shooting teams in the country last time out, as it knocked down 14 three-pointers in picking up a 79-65 victory over the Texas Longhorns as 4.5-point favorites.

The Wolverines have numerous perimeter weapons, with the biggest one being sophomore guard Nik Stauskas, who is averaging 19.2 points over his last 10 games.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 5-1 SU and 3-2-1 ATS as neutral court favorites of three or fewer points, with the OVER going 4-2 in that situation.


Quite a week
Tennessee won three games in the event last week, including a 83-63 victory over Mercer as 8.5-point favorites in the Round of 32 Sunday, while going OVER the betting total in the last two contests.

The Volunteers have shot 82.8 percent from the charity stripe during March Madness, while they’ve held opponents to an average of 54.0 points over their last eight games dating back to the regular season.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 2-0 SUATS as neutral court underdogs of three or fewer points this season.

Check out the top NCAA Tournament Futures Betting Lines

Success at this stage
The Wolverines are 11-2 SU all-time in the Round of 16 at the NCAA Tournament, as they prepare to play inside this venue for the first time in school history. 

Michigan is capable of winning the national title at a nice price in the futures market, considering it captured its first outright Big Ten Conference championship in 28 years.


Pounding the glass
The Volunteers have outscored their three tournament opponents by an average of 17.3 points, which has been made possible by shooting 49.1 percent from the floor and posting a +11.0 rebounding margin.

Tennessee junior forward Jarnell Stokes is the main player to watch in the paint, as he averages 15.2 points and 10.7 rebounds per game.  He’s tied for the Division I lead in double-doubles with 22—tying the school’s single-season record in that category.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Volunteers as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as I developed a handicapper line favoring the Wolverines by a single point. 

Pick: Tennessee Volunteers +2

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