Pick Oklahoma vs. West Virginia at NCAA Basketball Odds +4.5

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, January 13, 2015 2:01 PM GMT

Oklahoma has done a great job of limiting points off of turnovers in recent games, which makes it a college basketball pick against West Virginia Tuesday.

A Major Letdown
Oklahoma was primed for a letdown after picking up a 21-point road victory over its biggest rival Texas to start last week’s schedule, which is important to consider when looking over the college basketball odds, as it looks to bounce back from a 66-63 overtime setback at home to Kansas State last time out.

The Sooners were outshot from the floor in Norman for the first time during the 2014-15 campaign, while they knocked down just 12 of 19 attempts from the charity stripe.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 12-15 SU and 17-10 ATS as underdogs.

 

Creating Opportunity
West Virginia suffered a 74-72 defeat to Iowa State as 4.5-point home favorites despite causing 18 turnovers last Saturday, which can’t be ignored when making your college basketball picks, as it has failed to cover the number in 15 of its last 21 contests following a SU loss.

The Mountaineers lead the nation with a +10.6 turnover margin and grabbing 18.1 offensive rebounds per game—leading directly to taking 299 more shots than their opponents through 16 affairs.

It’s important to point that the Sooners have allowed just 9.5 points per game off turnovers and have committed nine or fewer miscues in five of the last seven outings.

Since the start of the 2012-12 campaign, the team is 8-11 SU and 12-7 ATS in January, with the OVER going 11-6 in that situation.

 

Balanced Attack
The Sooners are capable of scoring on anyone in the Big 12 Conference, as they welcomed back four starters from a season ago, while adding Houston transfer TaShawn Thomas to the front court.

Each of Oklahoma’s five main players has put up 20 or more points at least three times in their careers, with Buddy Hield being the main option on that end of the floor, as he’s averaged 21.3 points in conference play.

 

Big-Time Player
The Mountaineers have plenty of depth on their roster in ranking 14th in the country in bench minutes, but they’ll need a big game from Big 12 Preseason Player of the Year Juwan Staten, who comes in averaging 16.5 points and 3.3 rebounds.

The senior guard scored 44 points on 17 of 41 shooting from the floor against the Sooners last year—the home team winning and covering the number in both meetings.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Sooners as one of their top basketball picks, as they’ve gone 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in this series, while the Mountaineers are 20-22 ATS in their last 42 conference games.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Oklahoma Sooners +2.5 at Bookmaker