Pick Boise State vs. Kentucky to go "Under" Total

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, December 10, 2013 2:15 PM GMT

The Kentucky Wildcats have dominated non-conference opponents at home during the John Calipari era, as they prepare to welcome in the Boise State Broncos to Rupp Arena. Let’s take a closer look at the college basketball odds for this high-profile affair.

Big stage

Boise State is 8-0 for the first time in school history, as it gets ready to make its first appearance on ESPN since 1999.

The largest crowd that any player on the current roster has played in front of is 16,364, which could present a major challenge with tonight’s venue having a capacity of 23,500.

College basketball handicappers will find that the Broncos are 6-36 SU all-time against ranked opponents, including a 2-19 mark on the road.

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Disappointing effort

Kentucky blew a nine-point lead in the final 13 minutes in a 67-62 defeat to the Baylor Bears as 4.5-point neutral-site favorites last Friday, as it was outrebounded by a 41-25 margin in that affair.

The Wildcats are certainly going through some growing pains, as they continue to send out four freshmen in the starting lineup, with forward Julius Randle leading the charge in averaging 17.9 points per game.

The program is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games following a SU loss.

Experienced group

Boise State is the only team from the 2013 NCAA Tournament to bring back all five starters—a group that has combined for 295 starts overall.

The Broncos are the second-highest scoring team in the country in averaging 91.9 points per game, which isn’t very surprising due to the team welcoming back 92.4 percent of its scoring output from a season ago.

All eyes will be focused on leading scorer Anthony Drmic, who missed the last game with an undisclosed illness.

Defending the perimeter

The Wildcats have the ability to be one of the best defensive teams in the country, which is starting to show up in the statistics, as they sit 10th in field-goal percentage defense.

Kentucky is 100th in defending the three-point area, which is a bit troublesome with Boise State averaging 8.3 makes per game from beyond the arc.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total for their NCAA basketball pick, as the UNDER is 7-2 in the Broncos’ last nine road games.

Boise State possesses plenty of offensive firepower, but the roster tends to struggle against athletic foes. Kentucky is one of those teams.

 College Basketball Pick: Under

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