Pair of Road Dogs with Good Shots to Pull Upsets Tonight

Charles Stark

Friday, January 19, 2018 2:04 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 19, 2018 2:04 PM UTC

Although Friday’s slate of NCAA basketball games is quite short there are actually a couple of really nice matchups. We’re going to take a look at a couple of solid underdogs for today's college basketball picks.

St. Bonaventure at Davidson

Oddsmakers have come out making Davidson a small home favorite in this spot but for my NCAA pick in this matchup, I will take St. Bonaventure plus the points. Although the Bonnies have dropped three of their last four games I like how they matchup with Davidson and I expect for them to give them all they want tonight. On the season St. Bonaventure has been shooting the three extremely well at a nice 38% clip, but what I like is how well they played on the defensive end. Currently, they are allowing opponents just 22.5 field goals made per game which ranks 24th in the country. Along with that, they are allowing opponents to shoot just 41.5% from the field and a very good 29.9% from distance which ranks them 10th in the country. This will be the crucial matchup as Davidson loves to shoot the three averaging 28.9 attempts from distance which ranks them ninth in the country. On the other side of the ball though Davidson has not been very good as opponents are shooting 44.3% and they are allowing opponents to shoot 36% from distance. Although this game is on the road for St. Bonaventure I like for them to take this game to the buzzer.

Free NCAAB Pick: St. Bonaventure +4Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Illinois at Wisconsin

Wisconsin is a little bit down from the teams we have seen them have in the past. Currently, they are on a three-game losing streak but oddsmakers have still made them a 3.5 favorite in this spot. It makes sense considering those three losses were on the road and Illinois themselves have dropped their last four. Still, when we look at the matchup I think there some good value in backing Illinois so for my NCAAB pick in this game I will take the Fighting Illini. Head coach Brad Underwood has brought a new attitude to this Illinois team and they really like to get up and down the floor averaging 63.2 attempts per game. This will drastically conflict with how Wisconsin plays, as they average 53.5 attempts per game. Surprisingly though Illinois has been respectable defensively and what I like is the fact they are allowing opponents to shoot just 31.8% from distance. Along with that they actually have better defensive statistics across the board when compared to Wisconsin as they allow opponents to shoot 44.2%, compared with Wisconsin at 46.2%. I think these two teams matchup very evenly so there is some good value in grabbing the points.

Free NCAAB Pick: Illinois +4Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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