Oklahoma vs. Georgia Picks Tonight: SEC Tournament First Round Odds & Prediction
Two double-digit seeds do battle tonight in the opening round of the SEC Tournament when No. 14 Oklahoma takes on No. 11 Georgia. Tipoff is slated for 9:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn.
Our Oklahoma vs. Georgia prediction, odds, and expert picks focus on the favorites and their star freshman in the first-round affair. Our best sports betting sites list the Bulldogs as 3.5-point favorites with a total of 146.5.
The winner will take a winning streak into the next round, where they will play 6-seed Kentucky. Will Georgia pick up its sixth straight victory, or will the Sooners become the conference's Cinderella?
💰 Oklahoma vs. Georgia predictions, expert picks & best bets: SEC Tournament First Round
Here are my best Oklahoma vs. Georgia predictions, expert picks, and best bets tonight for the SEC Tournament's first round with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.
- Against the spread pick: Georgia -3 (-110 via Caesars) vs. Oklahoma ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best player prop bet: Asa Newell Over 15.5 points (+105 via Hard Rock) ⭐⭐⭐
- Exact score prediction: Georgia 73, Oklahoma 67 (+18000 via DraftKings) ⭐
👉 Check out our latest March Madness projections with our SBR Bracketology ahead of the NCAA Tournament!
🏀 Oklahoma vs. Georgia ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick
Here's why I'm betting on Georgia to cover the spread while targeting Asa Newell Over 15.5 points as my best player prop bet pick for today:
✅ Georgia to cover the spread (-3) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Recency is the key factor here, and it’s why we’re backing Georgia to win and cover at Bridgestone tonight. Since Feb. 1, Georgia ranks as the 19th-best overall team per Bart Torvik. They’re only 5-5 in that sample, but both their adjusted offensive efficiency (120.8) and adjusted defensive efficiency ratings (96.6) are top 30.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma ranks 56th through that sample. Like Georgia, they’ve been balanced, as their adjusted offensive (116) and defensive efficiency ratings (100.9) suggest, but being so consistently worse than Georgia in both categories is a big red flag when the spread is just three points.
Oklahoma’s path to a win (or covering) is by making some lucky shots early and taking advantage of Georgia’s below-average pace to capitalize upon shooting variance. But with Oklahoma’s defense ranked 345th since Feb. 1 in 2-point field goal percentage allowed at 57.2% - and 332nd in defensive free-throw rate - that variance probably won’t materialize.
📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 Asa Newell Over 15.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
If the Bulldogs are going to beat the Sooners, they’ll need to take advantage of Oklahoma’s issues with defending near the rim. No one is better positioned to force the issue than Asa Newell, who scored 15 points in the first meeting between these teams, shooting 5-for-10 from the field and 5-for-5 from the charity stripe.
Newell does almost all of his damage in the interior, taking over three-quarters of his shots from within the 3-point arc. He also boasts the second-most free-throw attempts on Georgia’s roster (123). While I am a bit worried about Newell’s willingness to pass instead of playing bully ball against a beatable defense, the point total of 15.5 is reasonable given his season average (15.1).
Because we’re getting the Over in the plus money, this Oklahoma-Georgia player prop has to make the card.
📊 Best odds: +105 via Hard Rock (bet $10 to win $10.50)
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🎯 Expert Oklahoma vs. Georgia score prediction & AI projections
🔮 Expert score prediction: Georgia 73, Oklahoma 67
🤖 AI score prediction: Georgia 78, Oklahoma 72
🔮 Expert score prediction: Georgia 73, Oklahoma 67
When these teams met earlier in the year, they produced only 134 total points, well below tonight's total of 148.5. Georgia’s recent pace, which clocks in at 206th, should help keep this one slowed down. Oklahoma will want to play at a faster clip, as the Sooners rank 34th in pace since Feb. 1, but I’m skeptical of their ability to convert those additional looks.
Georgia’s end to the year saw a few high-scoring wins, but I suspect the unfamiliar arena coupled with a coaching staff that is committed to playing at a deliberate pace will keep the early scoring in check. Last year, Georgia bested Missouri by 64-59 in the first round of the SEC Tournament, well below the 148-point threshold.
📊 Best odds: +18000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,800)
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🤖 AI score prediction: Georgia 78, Oklahoma 72
(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)
🖥️ AI predictions for Oklahoma vs. Georgia
Using all available news and data, ChatGPT holds that the projected final score is Georgia 78, Oklahoma 72.
- Win probability: Georgia 62% | Oklahoma 38%
- Projected total points: 150
- Key takeaways:
- Georgia's dominance inside: The Bulldogs excel at offensive rebounding and scoring in the paint, which was a key factor in their previous 72-62 win over Oklahoma
- Oklahoma's guard play: Freshman Jeremiah Fears has been a standout for the Sooners, but he struggled in their last matchup against Georgia, scoring only two points
- Pace & scoring trends: Both teams have been trending upward offensively, with Georgia averaging 77.8 PPG over their last five games and Oklahoma hitting 75+ in three of their last four
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Georgia covering the spread (-3) and a total of Over 148.5 points.
📊 Live Oklahoma vs. Georgia odds & latest betting splits
Here are the latest odds for Oklahoma vs. Georgia, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.
Georgia has held firm as a 3.5-point favorite ahead of tonight's SEC showdown, as of 8:30 p.m. ET. Interested bettors can get Oklahoma at odds as long as +152 at our best live betting sites.
🔢 Oklahoma vs. Georgia opening odds
Here's a look at the opening odds for Oklahoma vs. Georgia according to BetMGM.
- Spread: Oklahoma +2 (-110) | Georgia -2 (-110)
- Moneyline: Oklahoma +115 | Georgia -138
- Over/Under: Over 148.5 (-105) | Under 148.5 (-115)
🏆 Who will win Oklahoma vs. Georgia?
As of Wednesday night, Georgia is favored by 3.5 points to beat Oklahoma with moneyline odds of -185 at BetMGM, which suggests a 64.9% win probability for the Bulldogs. We're predicting a 73-67 win for the Bulldogs as our final score projection.
So far, 69% of bettors at the aforementioned sportsbook have wagered against the spread on Georgia -3.5, while 66% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 146.5 points.
📺 How to watch Oklahoma vs. Georgia tonight
📅 Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
🕗 Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville)
📺 TV: SEC Network
💻 Streaming: SEC Network+
❓ Visitor vs. Host FAQs
Who's favored to win the SEC Tournament?
The 2025 SEC Tournament should be close, but Auburn (+160) and Florida (+250) are the two favorites to emerge victorious.
Who is favored to win Oklahoma vs. Georgia?
Georgia is favored to win against Oklahoma with moneyline odds of -185, or a 64.9% implied probability.
What are the betting odds for Oklahoma vs. Georgia?
The latest Oklahoma vs. Georgia betting odds feature a spread of Oklahoma +3.5 (-105) | Georgia -3.5 (-115), with a total of 146.5 points (-110).
What will be the final score of Oklahoma vs. Georgia?
We're predicting a final score of Georgia 73, Oklahoma 67 entering tonight's matchup at Bridgestone Arena.
What time is Oklahoma vs. Georgia tonight?
Tonight’s SEC Tournament first-round game between Oklahoma and Georgia will start at 9:30 p.m. ET.
⛹️ Best college basketball betting sites
Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.
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