Oklahoma State's Defensive Edge Makes them Our NCAA Basketball Pick Over Baylor

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, January 27, 2015 3:03 PM GMT

Oklahoma State has played dynamite basketball at home during conference play, which provides it a major betting edge against Baylor Tuesday night.

Getting a Second Chance
Baylor has won four of its last five conference games, including a 69-58 victory over the Oklahoma Sooners as two-point home favorites last Saturday, but it still has a slim 64.7 to 63.7 scoring advantage in Big 12 Conference play.

The Bears have posted equal or more second-chance points than their opponents in all 19 games this season, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks, while all five of their starters average between 8.2 and 11.4 points per game.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the program is 1-5 SUATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points, with the OVER going 5-1 in that situation.

 

Welcome Home
Oklahoma State will enter an emotional Gallagher-Iba Arena with a 3-4 record in league play, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it prepares for the 14th anniversary of a plane crash that took the lives of 10 members of its basketball family.

The Cowboys have done their best work against Big 12 Conference opponents on their home floor, as they’ve earned victories over Texas Tech, Texas and Kansas State.

Head coach Travis Ford has watched his roster win nine of 10 home games overall—outscoring opponents by an average of 19.6 points.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 13-18 SU and 8-23 ATS when playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games on the schedule.

 

First Calendar Month
The Bears are 45-50 SU in January games under the direction of head coach Scott Drew, as they look to continue their strong play on the defensive end—ranking 19th in the country in surrendering just 57.8 points a contest.

Baylor has held teams to an average of 12.0 points below their season averages offensively, while it has limited foes to under 30 first-half points in 14 of 19 games.

 

Getting Stops
Sports bettors may be surprised to find that the Cowboys are actually better than the Bears in terms of defensive efficiency, as they rank 22nd and 33rd respectively in that statistical category.

Oklahoma State will need a big game from senior forward Michael Cobbins, who happens to be a rim protector and defensive specialist—averaging 9.1 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.1 blocks at this venue.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cowboys as one of their top Big 12 NCAA basketball picks, as the home team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 games in this rivalry.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Oklahoma State Cowboys -4 at Bookmaker