O/U NCAA Basketball Picks: Crash The Board With Today's Plays

Mark Lathrop

Monday, February 15, 2016 5:10 PM GMT

Our college basketball handicapper presents a trio of totals plays for your President's Day wagering card, as he looks to build upon another winning week of NCAA basketball picks.

New Mexico State vs. Wichita State (Under 129)?
The Wichita State Shockers (18-7, 12-2) try to get back on track after a stinging loss to Northern Iowa, and welcome WAC stalwart New Mexico State (18-8, 9-1) to their home court. This game represents the meeting of some of the top defenses in basketball with Wichita State ranked 3rd in the country in defense at home while giving up 55.8 points per game, and New Mexico State ranked 27th in the country in road defense while giving up 66.5 points per game. The current listed O/U total in this game is at 129.

Wichita State was cold from the floor in that 50-53 loss to Northern Iowa, shooting 20-66 which was good for only a 30.3% completion rate. They were also 7-31 from 3-point range. But Wichita State’s pace when it is shooting just fine doesn’t allow them to put up significant point totals. In their 74-48 win over Drake they shot 47.5% from the field.

New Mexico State plays at an even slower pace. For instance, in their last winning effort against lowly Chicago State the Aggies shot 56.8% from the floor, yet only scored 69 points on 44 attempts.

When these teams meet it’s going to be a grinding affair, and one team will not make it out of the 50’s in score. That’s enough for me to place significant value on the Under of 129 for one of my Monday NCAA basketball picks.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 129
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Wofford vs. UNC Greensboro (Over 145.5)
We were fading Wofford’s offense in their game against Citadel on Saturday, but they decided to put up 99 points anyway. In this game, I’m expecting that the Terriers players will keep that pace in their mind and continue to score higher than their season average. These are 19-22 year-old’s after all, and they are impressionable.

UNC Greensboro comes into this game the loser of three straight. They’ve given up their share of points in those games as well and hold the 256th ranked defense in the country while allowing 74.9 points per game. They are coming off of a loss in which they gave up 86 points to lowly VMI.

Wofford games have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games on the road and 11 of 14 of UNC Greensboro’s last games. In this game, I like Wofford to take increase their 9-5 O/U record on the road in favor of the Over, and will be taking Over 145.5 as a Monday NCAAB pick.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Over 145.5
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas (Over 137.5)
In this nationally televised game on ESPN, the Kansas Jayhawks (21-4, 9-3) try to pay back the Oklahoma State Cowboys (12-13, 3-9) for a stunning 86-67 loss last month as 9-point road favorites in the NCAA basketball odds boards. That game had a total listed total of 142, with the combined score of 153 cashing the over easily. In this game, the O/U total is listed at 137.5.

With Kansas at home and a fifteen-point favorite here, I’m expecting that they will push the pace and try to bury Oklahoma State early. They can ill afford a home loss to the Cowboys here as they try to compete for a #1 seed into the NCAA tournament. Kansas has one of the top offenses at home this year as well, ranking 19th in the country with 85.8 points per game on their home court.

With the thesis that Kansas will touch the 80’s tonight, I think that Oklahoma State showed enough in their last meeting to feel comfortable about their ability to score in the 60’s. That combination will bring the score over the listed total, which is why I have a lean towards Over 137.5 in this game as another Monday college basketball picks.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Over 137.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline