NIT Free Picks: Up-Tempo Creighton Will Cover ATS Over Alabama

Charles Stark

Tuesday, March 15, 2016 12:34 PM GMT

In tonight’s matchup between Alabama & Creighton I think we have two teams probably well aware their chances of getting to the dance were slim. Odds makers have made a Creighton a solid favorite.

NCAA basketball odds makers have made Creighton a -7 favorite like at Bet Online -110. The Blue Jays can put up points in a hurry and although Alabama plays some decent defense for one of my NCAA basketball picks I am going to back Creighton minus the points to win this game by double digits.

 

Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama averages just 66.8 points per game but defensively rank in the top part of the country in opponent overall shooting percentage and opponent effective field goal percentage. They come into this contest limping quite a bit being losers of five out of their last seven and I believe they will have some trouble tonight at a very difficult place to play in Creighton. This has been a rebuilding year for them under Avery Johnson and they ended up in the bottom half in what I thought was a subpar SEC league this season. Defensively, as mentioned, they are decent but not elite and Creighton has had success at home against teams that have better defensive statistics for the most part. Offensively they are pretty stagnant and go at a snail’s pace averaging just 52.8 field goal attempts per game which ranks in the bottom of NCAA basketball. They also rank in the bottom third of all teams in most percentage categories and rank in the very bottom part of the country averaging just 10.6 assists per game.

 

Creighton Blue Jays
Creighton averages 79.6 points per game and average 54.3% on their two point shooting which ranks 17th in the country. Like Alabama the Blue Jays come into this game limping having lost five out of their last six games. The difference though is that Creighton was really competitive in those losses as they have been for the most part throughout the season. Offensively they have some weapons and are very efficient ranking in the top 30 in the country in effective field goal percentage and field goals made per game. Defensively they are good not great but play well within their system and tonight face an Alabama team that is far from an offensive juggernaut. If they can push tempo like they normally do, and I am anticipating they will, they should be able to take the Crimson Tide off their game and into a fast pace affair which will greatly favor the Blue Jays to run away from them. Alabama might keep it close but look for Creighton to pull away in the second half.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Creighton -7 
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker