Nevada Our Top Cat, Vanderbilt King Rat in NCAA Basketball Week 5 ATS Rankings

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, December 5, 2017 2:52 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2017 2:52 PM UTC


Who wins bets ATS and who loses bets ATS is an important thing to stay on top of, with our modern Digital Age loaded with whistles and bells and words and pretty colors, but often devoid of the simplest ways of looking at things.

1—Nevada 8-0-0 ATS

Mountain West Conference school and #22 Nevada sky high for our top spot after starting the 2017 NCAA Basketball Regular Season a scorching 8-0 ATS, and going a perfect 8-0 SU so far. Third-year Head Coach Eric Musselman and the Wolf Pack are in action tonight when they travel to Lubbock to face Texas Tech, and with unbeaten SU and ATS marks, backing unbeaten Nevada and taking the points seems wise against the Red Raiders. Nevada has played a fairly weak schedule though, as the Free Throw Percentage of the Wolf Pack’s opponents so far indicates and this team has been pretty weak on both the Offensive and Defensive boards but Caleb Martin and Nevada have been very good from 3-Point range. The Wolf Pack were 23-11-1 ATS last season.

The Wolf Pack bench will have to be able to contribute more scoring for this team to keep up this spotless SU and ATS pace and the game Tuesday night at Texas Tech will be a test—early Red Raiders money has driven the Point Spread up 1 from 4½ to 5½—but until Nevada is an incredible 17-1 ATS its L18 dating back to last season and the last Wolf Pack ATS Loss came to Iowa State in the first round of the 2017 Big Dance, losing 83-74 to the Cyclones and failing to cover ATS as 4-point Underdogs. So, Nevada W9 in a row ATS to end last season, lost SU/ATS to Iowa State in the Tournament and then started this season off with a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS record. Very Top Catty stuff.

2—Portland State 6-0-0 ATS

Big Sky member Portland State checks in at #2 and the Vikings 6-0 ATS start is the second best mark in the land at this still early stage of the season, and 1st-year Head Coach Barret Peery have played, and covered ATS against, some very tough competition in Butler, Stanford and #1 Duke (back-to-back-to-back) before throttling PBC (Portland Bible College), 125-50 in its last game at Home at the Stott Center in Rose City as four Portland State starters had 20+ points as well as four Bench players who providing huge scoring against the Wildcats, and feasting on a little local National Christian Collegiate Athletics Association team may pad the statistics but there was no line on this monster mismatch on December 2.

Next up for Portland State, a game at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday night in a tough test for both sides, but a game the visitors can definitely win. This Vikings team is one you can make some money on in the right spots and the prolific Bench and experience gleaned playing the Blue Devils early should really help North and Portland State.

3—UC Davis 5-0-1 ATS

Big West school UC Davis pulls in at #3 and the Aggies only non-cover was a Push against Northern Colorado, laying 5, and winning 56-51 at Home at The Pavilion in Davis, California on Nov. 29. UC Davis will play Pacific on Wednesday at Home and the Aggies are led in scoring by Chima Moneke, who also leads UC Davis in Rebounding and Blocks with TJ Shorts II the team’s FG Percentage, Assists and Steals leader. UC Davis and 7th-year Head Coach and former Bradley Guard Jim Les went 18-13-1 ATS in 2016/17 and the Aggies are a money-making 8-1-1 ATS in their L10 lined games dating back to last year. So who got TJ Shorts II? UCD do, that’s who.

4—Southern Utah 5-0-0 ATS

Another Big Sky team, Southern Utah (4-3 SU, 5-0-0 ATS) makes the cut with 2nd-year Head Coach Todd Simon and the Thunderbirds slowly creating a nice little Basketball culture in Cedar City. Southern Utah is led in scoring by Jadon Cohee with Jamal Aytes and Ivan Madunic holding it down in the paint for the Thunderbirds who lost but covered ATS here in Sin City against UNLV getting 23½ points in a 101-82 loss over at the Thomas & Mack. Next up on the hardwood slate for Cohee, James McGee (1.9 spg) and Southern Utah, a date with Long Beach State at Home at Centrum Arena on Wednesday in a tough handicap.

5—Central Michigan 4-0-0 ATS

Mid-American Conference side Central Michigan makes the cut with 4 ATS Wins and 0 ATS Losses, and minimizing the losses in sports betting is key to long-term success and much fewer broken remote controls. And pets don’t like losses either. The Chippewas haven’t faced a tough Schedule at all yet, so bettor beware when backing Great Alaska Shootout MVP Shawn Roundtree and this bunch who host Montana State on Tuesday night at McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant in a game which currently sees Central Michigan as 2- to 3-point Home chalks in a big test for David DiLeo, Cecil Williams, Kevin McKay and the Chips.

Free NCAAB Pick: Nevada +6 Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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1—Vanderbilt 0-7-0 ATS

SEC shooter Vanderbilt are usually pretty respectable at the betting windows, but this 2017 College Basketball Regular Season has seen the Commodores limp out to an 0-7-0 Record ATS, worst in Division I with California schools Stanford having 8 ATS Losses and UC-Irvine one ATS Win. Expect Vanderbilt Head Coach Bryce Drew to right the Commodores ship soon.

On Wednesday, Jeff Roberson and Vanderbilt will welcome Middle Tennessee State to Vanderbilt University Memorial Gym in Nashville for a tough Non-Conference meeting as last year, the Blue Raiders pounded Vanderbilt, 71-48 at Home in the Volunteer State, easily covering ATS by 23 points as 2-point Favorites—thanks in great part to a 40-25 2nd Half—in a game which saw the Commodores commit 13 TOs.

2—SIU Edwardsville 0-6-0 ATS

Ohio Valley Conference member SIU Edwardsville should not be confused with Missouri Valley Conference member Southern Illinois University at Carbondale as one has a cat as its mascot while the other proudly has an Egyptian fighting dog and one occasionally makes the Big Dance in March while the other hasn’t but has played in the Division II Men’s Little Dance Tournament 5 times when SIU Edwardsville was still in DII. The Cougars joined Division I in 2008.

Next up for 3rd-year Head Coach Jon Harris and SIU Edwardsville, a date at Horizon League member Indiana-Purdue on Wednesday night in Indianapolis and a seemingly tough spot for the visitors and maybe a good spot to back the Jaguars. SIU-Edwardsville went 11-14-1 ATS last year and Jalen Henry and the Cougars could be in for a long season with this nasty 1-6 SU start. IUPUI is worth a look on Hump Day, ‘cause that’s my Pump Day, My I Don’t Have To Jump Day.

3—Illinois-Chicago 0-5-0 ATS

Another team from the Land of Lincoln without an ATS Win yet, Horizon League entry UIC, and after an 18-13-1 ATS mark in 2016/17 and an 11-16-1 ATS mark in 2015/17, maybe this is the year to fade 3rd-year Head Coach Steve McClain and the Flames who play their Home games at the UIC Pavilion in the Windy City where I once saw The Psychedelic Furs and was thoroughly unimpressed. Dikembe Dixson is the leading scorer for Illinois-Chicago while Tai Odiase leadsin FG Percentage and Rebounding while Tarkus Ferguson runs the floor.

Next up for the Flames, a Wednesday game against Division II side Wisconsin Parkside at The Pavilion in Chicago, and don’t laugh at the Rangers because they totally doused the Flames—as good Rangers do—79-73 back on Dec. 21, 2004 when we were all still young human beans and wrongly thought that Pluto was a planet and that Donald Trump was just a Real Estate mogul. Don’t expect a Point Spread on that matchup.

4—Arkansas State 0-5-0 ATS

Arkansas State may be Catty in Football but the Red Wolves are Ratty in Basketball so far so call your Congressman and ask him (or her) which Lobbyist bought them their Lunch today. One reason Arkansas State has been so poor so far is that 1st-year Head Coach Mike Balado, Deven Simms, Rashad Lindsey and the Red Wolves have yet to play a Home game at the First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, but that all changes tonight when Tennessee Martin pays a visit in a game Offshore sportsbooks now have Arkansas State as 7-point Home Favorites after opening at 6 earlier on Monday afternoon. With Arkansas State winning by 19 in their last meeting last season and this team winless ATS and glad to finally be Home, the early movement seems justified and Tristin Walley and the Red Wolves could beat the Skyhawks by double-digits. Since 1992, Arkansas State is 5-1 SU against Tennessee-Martin (0-4 SU on Road in 2017) but 3-3 ATS.

5—Samford 0-5-0 ATS

Samford (2-5 SU, 0-5 ATS) beats out some other winless ATS teams like Gardner Webb (0-4 ATS), St. Francis (NY) (0-5 ATS), Princeton (0-4 ATS) and Southern Miss (0-4 ATS) and with a -17.4 ppg average compared to the Point Spread in their games so far the Bulldogs (#233 Ken Pomeroy ranking) and Head Coach Scott Padgett may be a team to watch in the Southern Conference. Last year, Samford went 16-13-0 ATS last season, but with a date at Memphis coming up on Tuesday night, (MEMP -9, BetOnline), it could be a long season for Demetrius Denzel-Dyson (14.4 ppg), Eric Adams (5.8 rpg), Justin Coleman (4.8 apg) and Samford (2-0 ATS vs. MEMPHIS). The Tigers in the 1st Half may be the best approach in this one.

Free NCAAB Pick: Arkansas State -7Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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