NCAAB Underdog Values: Three Golden Picks On Saturday’s Slate

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, January 23, 2016 3:35 PM GMT

Saturday, Jan. 23, 2016 3:35 PM GMT

Our NCAA basketball odds analyst has three underdog selections on Saturday’s card. Find out what those free NCAA basketball picks are and maximize your profits today.

Arkansas vs. Georgia 6:00 PM ET
Arkansas has shot the ball extremely well over their past five games, making 47.6% of their field goal attempts, and converted on an identical 47.6% of their three point attempts. The Razorbacks have been a substantial money maker of late, going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.

Georgia is coming off a narrow 60-57 road win against SEC bottom feeder Missouri. By the way, that’s the same Missouri team that was blown out by 33 points at home just eleven days ago against Arkansas. In the game before Missouri, Georgia was routed at home by Texas A&M 79-45 last Saturday. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS during the past three seasons after scoring 60 points or less in each of their previous two games. Georgia shot a miserable 34.2% combined in its last two games.

One thing that really jumped out at me when handicapping this contest was both teams assist to turnover ratios. Arkansas is at a very good 17 to 11 margin for the season, and Georgia comes in at a poor 13 to 14 ratio. As a matter of fact, during its last five games, Georgia has averaged 13 assists compared to 16 turnovers per game. Arkansas is notorious for their intense defensive pressure under head coach Mike Anderson, and I look for that ploy to be a deciding factor in the outcome of this game.

Current NCAA basketball odds provide me with a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Arkansas +2
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

BYU vs. Pepperdine 8:00 PM ET
BYU captured a huge road win at Gonzaga recently. However, the Cougars are just 3-5 in true road games this season. They’re a very good three point shooting team that’s converted on 38.5% of its attempts for the season. They’ll be hard pressed to come close to that kind of accuracy today against an opponent with an excellent 21.1% three point defense percentage at home.

Speaking of three-point shooting, Pepperdine has made an outstanding 40.3% of their long distance attempts over the last five games. Pepperdine is a perfect 8-0 on their home floor this season, holding opponents to 63.6 points per contest, and limiting them to 39.7% shooting from the floor. They enter today’s game with momentum by going 5-1 in their last six outings.

This appears to be a very good spot for the home underdog. One of my Saturday NCAA basketball picks will be reflective of that sentiment.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Pepperdine +3
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. UT-Arlington 8:15 PM ET
These are clearly the two best teams in the Sun Belt Conference. Little Rock enters today with a stellar 16-2 record. Arlington is at an impressive 14-3, including a perfect 8-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS on its home floor. Each team has recently sustained a recent upset loss as a sizable road favorite. So something has to give in this intriguing matchup.

Despite the spotless home mark for Arlington, I can’t ignore the outstanding road record of Little Rock. They’ve gone 8-2 in true away games this season, and that includes 3-1 SU&ATS when cast into a role as a road underdog. Arlington hasn’t shot the ball well in their last four games, converting on just 40.4% of their field goal attempts during that stretch. I like the underdog betting value in this contest with all things being considered. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset, but we’ll take the points as an additional bonus.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock +4
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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