NCAAB Picks: Play the Over for Arizona vs. Oregon State

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, March 5, 2014 1:45 PM GMT

The Oregon State Beavers are known for being one of the best offensive teams in the country when playing at home, as they prepare to take on the Arizona Wildcats Wednesday. Let's take a look at the college basketball betting lines and decide on our sports pick from there!

Let’s take a closer look at the college basketball odds for this Pac-12 Conference affair at the Gill Coliseum, with the opening tip scheduled for 11:00 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1.

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Likely a No. 1 seed

Arizona will likely land one of the four No. 1 seeds in the upcoming 2014 NCAA Tournament, as it enters this affair on a four-game winning streak, including a 79-66 victory over the Stanford Cardinal as 10.5-point home favorites Sunday.

The Wildcats are ranked fifth nationally in surrendering just 58.2 points per game and sit behind just seven teams in holding opponents to 38.3 percent shooting from the floor.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 7-6 SU and 8-5 ATS in March, with the UNDER going 8-5 in that situation.

Fallen into a pattern

Oregon State has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, as it looks to bounce back from a 74-69 setback to the UCLA Bruins as 14-point road underdogs, while going UNDER the betting total for a fourth consecutive contest.

The Beavers have two probable starters averaging double figures, with senior guard Roberto Nelson leading the way in scoring 20.6 points a contest—the top figure in the Pac-12 heading into the final week of the regular season.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 7-9 SU and 9-7 ATS versus conference opponents during the 2013-14 campaign.

Boarding up 

The Wildcats have won the rebounding battle 24 times this season and rank third in the country with a +9.2 rebounding margin.

Arizona’s ability to dominate the glass has led to easy scoring opportunities, which has led to being the only squad to rank in the top 20 in both offensive (.383) and defensive (.743) rebound percentage.

Series history

The Beavers are 20-57 SU all-time against the Wildcats, including a 2-11 mark when Arizona enters as a team ranked in the top-five nationally.

Oregon State has covered the number in seven of the last 10 meetings in this series, while the home team has grabbed the cash in the last four affairs.

SBR's 2014 NCAA Brackets Contest

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their college basketball picks, as the OVER is 12-5 in the Beavers’ last 17 opportunities in playing teams that allow 64 points per game or less on the season.

Oregon State is averaging 78.5 points on 48.5 percent shooting from the field at home this season, while Arizona may lack its normal intensity on the defensive due to already wrapping up the top spot in the upcoming conference tournament.

College Basketball Pick: Over