Coming off a season in which this handicapper was third at CappersMonitor.com this past season, if you want to have a great college basketball campaign this upcoming season, you better pay attention.
This past year I altered my methods making selections in college hoops and it ended up being one of my most profitable years. Let go over various elements that can maximize your profits once a new season arrives.
During November/December, Be Choosy and Back Veteran Teams
The first seven weeks of the college basketball season are stuffed with nonconference contests. Because more and more coaches want to learn what they have with their roster, they are more willing to take on better competition. However, what a team plays like before conference action compared to once league play starts can be quite different. Here is it best to be selective in any matchup, watch the teams play and get a feel for what you are seeing. Older teams with veteran point guards are more likely to gel early and can win and or cover against more talented opponents because they have more continuity as a unit. Seek teams like this as underdogs or short favorites to defeat the college basketball odds.
Watch Games and Keep Open Mind
Though I annually watch over 200 college hoops games a year, it has not always helped me as much as it should even with a vast knowledge of well over 100 teams. Because college squads are more prone to change, both good and bad, it helps to take useful notes you can return to later when you see them play again. One of the hardest aspects to alter is perception, because when a team was playing great early and has become average in conference action, trying to watch, learn and understand what changed can increase your take against the sportsbooks. Having a clear and open mind and not faithfully believing what you had seen previously will not only build your bankroll but save cash on bad bets relying on the past.
Pay Extremely Close Attention to Offensive and Defensive Shooting Percentages
While I always paid attention to these numbers, I looked further at these digits the past year and this became the reason for such an improvement for college basketball picks. On offense, good shooting teams will always have a chance to cover spreads because they have fewer dull shooting periods in games. Generally looking for teams that shoot 46 percent or better or the opposite, those connecting on 43 percent or less is an outstanding place to find value both ways. Three points shooting, of course, important the way the game is played today. While percentages matter, the frequency of made baskets is more noteworthy. If Team A averages 10 three-pointers a contest and Team B is at five each time out, if both defenses are similar, that is a nice edge to start a game with if the spread is in single digits.
Defensively the same is true, just in reverse. Look to find teams holding foes to under 42 percent shooting, especially as underdogs and if home, all the better. If a club allows the opponent to connect on 46 percent or even higher, these teams when favored are going to have a harder time holding onto leads and give away covers or end up losing outright on occasion.
Of course, all handicappers and sharp bettors have more tricks up their sleeves to beat the oddsmakers, but if you master these, your winnings will begin to rise this season.