NCAA Tournament Pick: Top 'O'/'U' Play for Wisconsin vs. Kentucky

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, April 4, 2015 11:38 AM GMT

Saturday, Apr. 4, 2015 11:38 AM GMT

Our college basketball handicapper takes a second glance at Saturday’s “Final Four” contest between Wisconsin and Kentucky. Find out if he’s waned at all from his early lean that was disclosed on Monday. The article concludes with a terrific betting angle which has won 68.1% of the time since 1997.

Badgers seek Revenge versus Wildcats
The Wisconsin Badgers (35-3) will be out to seek revenge for last season’s NCAA Tournament defeat when they take on the undefeated Kentucky Wildcats (38-0) tonight at 8:49 PM ET. These teams met in the 2014 “Final Four” and Kentucky came out on top in a thrilling 74-73 win.  According to the NCAA Tournament Odds at Bovada, Kentucky is a 5.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 132.0.

 

After further Review
If you read my article earlier this week at Sportsbook Review pertaining to this contest, you would be well aware that I had early lean toward going under the total. Since that time, there’s been very little movement on the number, and Bodog currently has the highest total at 132.0. I’m not going to waver from my initial intuition, and I’m committed to making that as one of my NCAA Tournament picks for Saturday.

 

College Basketball Totals Angle
The Wisconsin Badgers advanced to the "Final Four" with an 85-78 win over Arizona. The Badgers will enter Saturday's contest averaging 72.8 points per game on the season. They'll be facing a Kentucky team which allows just 53.9 points per game. The combination of this data creates a highly profitable college basketball totals betting system.

Any neutral court team (Wisconsin) that averages between 67 to 74-points per game, playing in game 15 of the season or beyond, and is coming off a game in which there was a combined 155-points or more scored, versus an opponent (Kentucky) that's allowing 64-points or less per game, has seen that team go under the total in 81 of those 119-games (68.1%) since the start of the 1997-1998 college basketball season. The average combined score in those contests was 124.9 points, and 49% of those games went under the number by 7.0 points or more.

NCAA Tournament Pick: Kentucky and Wisconsin under the total of 132.0 at Bodog

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