NCAA Tournament Betting: UConn vs. Michigan State

Jeff Grant

Saturday, March 29, 2014 5:47 PM GMT

Michigan State Spartans head coach Tom Izzo has been incredible in turnaround games in the Big Dance, which will lead to a victory over the Connecticut Huskies Sunday.

Survive and advance
Michigan State is 0-2-1 ATS in winning its first three games of the Big Dance, including a 61-59 victory over the Virginia Cavaliers as 2.5-point favorites Friday, while going UNDER the betting total of 128.5. 

The Spartans have four of five probable starters averaging double figures, with sophomore guard Gary Harris leading the way in scoring 16.9 points a contest.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 17-7 SU and 13-10-1 ATS in March, with the UNDER going 14-10 in that situation.


A virtual home game
Connecticut has played some of its best basketball inside this venue historically, which includes a 81-76 victory over the Iowa State Cyclones as a pick ‘em Friday, while going OVER the betting total for a third consecutive affair. 

The Huskies have covered the number in their first three games of the event—led by senior point guard Shabazz Napier averaging 22.6 points over that span.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 16-6 SU and 10-11-1 ATS on a neutral floor since the start of the 2011-12 campaign.

Take a look at the to NCAA Tournament Championship Odds

Closing out a weekend
The Spartans are worthy favorites on the SBR Odds page, considering they’ve compiled a 19-3 SU record in the second game of an NCAA Tournament weekend under longtime head coach Tom Izzo.

Michigan State has also proven victorious in six of its previous seven trips to the Elite 8 with Izzo on the sideline.

 
Getting to the line
The Huskies need to be aggressive on the offensive end in hopes of pulling off an upset, which could lead to opportunities on the free throw line. 

Connecticut ranks seventh in the country in shooting from the charity stripe, with Napier and fellow guard Ryan Boatright leading the charge.

 
Outlook
I’ve established a handicapper line favoring the Spartans by 5.5 points, which offers no value in the current marketplace.

Sports bettors will need to look in Michigan State’s direction at a number of 5 or lower, while Connecticut is worth backing at 6.5 or higher.

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