NCAA Tournament Betting: Kentucky vs. Michigan

Jeff Grant

Saturday, March 29, 2014 6:09 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 29, 2014 6:09 PM GMT

The Michigan Wolverines will likely tipoff as underdogs for the first time in the Big Dance Sunday, which provides them value in taking on the Kentucky Wildcats.

Shooting the lights out
Michigan shot 55 percent from the field in picking up a 73-71 victory over the Tennessee Volunteers as two-point favorites in the Sweet 16 Friday, while going OVER the betting total for a second consecutive affair.

The Wolverines rank second in the country in offensive efficiency, which is helped by shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 14-14 SU and 15-13 ATS as underdogs, with the OVER going 16-11 in that situation.

 
Covering the number
Kentucky is 3-0 SUATS in its first three games of the 2014 NCAA Tournament, as it looks to avoid a letdown after picking up back-to-back underdog victories over Wichita State and Louisville.

The Wildcats have compiled a 16-2 SU record in this event under the direction of head coach John Calipari.

College basketball handicappers will find that the Wildcats are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games versus Big Ten Conference opponents.

Live NCAA Tournament Championship Betting Lines

Moving The Ball
The Wolverines rank 78th nationally in assisting on 56 percent of their made shots from the field—a number that reflects how well this roster has taken to head coach John Beilein’s system.

It’s important to point out that Beilein has never coached against Calipari in his career, but he’s searching for his first victory over Kentucky in three tries.

 
Randle
The Wildcats are led offensively by freshman forward Julius Randle, who leads the nation with 23 double-doubles.

Kentucky is second in major college basketball in offensive rebounding percentage—leading directly to second-chance points and opportunities at the charity stripe.

 
Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Wolverines as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as I developed a handicapper line of a pick ‘em for this affair.

Michigan will benefit from already playing Tennessee and Texas in the tournament—two teams that are just as big as Kentucky in terms of size on the floor.

 Pick: Michigan Wolverines +2

[gameodds]14/262946/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]
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