NCAA Tournament Betting: Baylor vs. Wisconsin -3

Tuesday, March 25, 2014 12:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 25, 2014 12:21 PM UTC

The Baylor Bears and Wisconsin Badgers figure to play a game that goes down to the wire Thursday night, which means the free throw line will likely determine the winner.

Capable of scoring
Wisconsin is enjoying its highest-scoring season of the Bo Ryan era, as it enters averaging 73.9 points per game—ranking fifth nationally in offensive efficiency by putting up 1.20 points per possession.  

The Badgers have four of five probable starters averaging double figures, with junior forward Frank Kaminsky leading the way at 13.6 points a contest.  He’s coming off a 19-point performance in the team’s 85-77 win over the Oregon Ducks last time out. 

It’s important to point out that the program is 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS on a neutral floor this season.

Trending upward
Baylor has really turned it on since Feb. 12, as it has captured 12 of 14 games over that span, including a 85-55 blowout victory over the Creighton Bluejays as 3.5-point underdogs Sunday. 

The Bears have put together the nation’s best postseason winning percentage over the last six seasons—compiling a 17-3 SU record in that situation.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 17-7 SU and 14-9-1 ATS in March.

Compare the top NCAA Tournament Betting Lines

Impressive resume

College basketball handicappers will have an interest in backing the Badgers when looking over the SBR Odds page, considering they’ve tallied 18 victories over RPI top 100 opponents—the most such wins for any team in the country.

Wisconsin has won 10 of its last 11 games versus Big 12 Conference opponents, including a pair of wins over Kansas State in this event in 2008 and 2011.

Deep roster
The Bears have four of five probable starters averaging double figures, with senior forward Cory Jefferson leading the way at 13.6 points a contest. 

Baylor has eight players averaging 14-plus minutes per game, while the bench is averaging 8.3 points more than their opponents’ reserves.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Badgers as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as I believe their efficiency at the free throw line will be the difference.

Wisconsin is 29th in the country in shooting 74.4 percent from the charity stripe, which is far better than Baylor ranking 255th (67.8%) in that all-important statistical category.

Pick: Wisconsin Badgers -3


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