NCAA Basketball Power Numbers Favor Pick On Purdue Over Notre Dame

Purdue Boilermakers players huddled up

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, December 17, 2016 3:57 PM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 17, 2016 3:57 PM GMT

SBR college basketball handicapping professional Ross Benjamin provides us with a betting preview on Saturday’s Purdue and Notre Dame game. Using his resources and his expert analysis we get a very profitable pick for today's game.

Saturday 12/17 College Basketball Odds: Purdue vs. Notre Dame

A couple of in-state rivals square off on Saturday afternoon when #21 Notre Dame meets #15 Purdue. The opening tip at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana is slated for 2:00 PM ET, and it will be televised by ESPN2. This will be the first meeting between these schools on the hardwood since 12/20/2014. Notre Dame routed Purdue on that day by a lopsided score of 94-63

At the time of this writing (12/16), college basketball betting odds at BetOnline indicates that Purdue is a 1.5-point favorite. BetOnline has maintained an A+ grade since 8/21/2015 per a credible online sports betting rating guide.


Bouncing Back from First Defeat

Notre Dame started the season 9-0 before suffering an 8-point loss to #1 Villanova in their previous game. Notre Dame led by as many as 11 points in that contest before fading in the final few minutes of that contest. The “Fighting Irish” were mainly victimized in that defeat by a 37-point performance from Villanova’s Josh Hart.

Notre Dame is converting on a remarkable 86.4% of their free throw attempts thus far, and that’s good for #1 nationally. They’re also an excellent 3-point shooting team, and that’s further evidenced by canning 40.1% of those long distance tries. The top 4 scorers for Notre Dame are averaging 13.0 and 16.6 points per game.


Boilermakers Quality Depth

Purdue possesses 5 players averaging double figure scoring and 2 more that go for an identical 7.8 points per game. The Boilermakers are coming off a 77-53 rout of Cleveland State in its last time out, and that improved their record to 8-2. Their only 2 defeats came in a 3-point home loss to top-ranked Villanova, and by 7 at #11 Louisville.

Purdue is an even better 3-point shooting team than Notre Dame, proven by their 44.1% success rate from beyond the arc. That ranks #4 nationally in that specific category. The Boilermakers are also #28 in scoring offense at 83.7 points per game.


Final Take and Pick

My personal power rating index indicates that Purdue should be approximately a 6.0-point favorite on a neutral floor. I’m going to trust the numbers in this instance when making one of my Saturday college basketball predictions.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Purdue -1.5Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3096194, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,238,180,19], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here