Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for this Horizon League matchup at The Arc, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
Life on the road
Wright State has dropped all eight of its true road games during the 2013-14 campaign, including a 58-53 defeat to the Detroit Titans as two-point underdogs last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for the fifth time in six opportunities.
The Raiders are getting outscored by 8.4 points per game away from home, as they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 47.8 percent from the field.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points.
Valparaiso has dropped three of its last four games, but it did manage to pick up an 87-72 victory over UIC as 11-point favorites in his only home game over that span on Jan. 2.
College basketball handicappers need to realize that five freshmen have accounted for 42.7 percent of the team’s minutes this season.
The Crusaders are 2-2 SUATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 6 points dating back to the 2011-12 season.
The Raiders are certainly capable of pulling off an outright victory in this affair, considering they’ve forced opponents to turn the ball over on 25.3 percent of their possessions.
Wright State must get off to a fast start in trying to avenge last year’s defeat in the Horizon title game, especially since Valparaiso has committed 60 fewer turnovers in the second half of its 17 games.
Scoring at home
The Crusaders are averaging 87.8 points per game at this venue, which is far better than their 68.4 figure when playing on the road.
Valparaiso has split its 22 all-time meetings with Wright State, but has picked up wins in six of the last seven match-ups.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Raiders in the opening 20 minutes with their college basketball picks, as the youthful Crusaders have turned the ball over at a very high rate early on in games.
Wright State will likely be a 3 to 3.5-point underdog in the first half when this game tips off.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Wright State First Half