NCAA Basketball Picks: Washington vs. Washington State

PJ Laferla

Wednesday, March 13, 2013 2:40 PM GMT

Wednesday, Mar. 13, 2013 2:40 PM GMT

Washington is coming off of a loss and Wazzu is coming off of a win against USC. So, which of these two Apple State rivals do we side with for our NCAAB picks?

PAC-12 Tournament Pick

The sixth- seeded Washington Huskies will lock horns with the eleventh-seeded Washington State Cougars in the opening round of the PAC-12 college basketball tournament, with tip off set for 11:30 PM from the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Bovada’s opening line in this contest saw Washington listed as slim -1 point favorites on the college basketball odds, but they have already bumped that number up to -2, which is a clear indication that bettors are siding with the Huskies in this matchup.

The games over/under total is coming in at just 127 1/2 points, but certainly seems justified given both teams’ low offensive numbers and stingy defense. In fact, the Cougars are under in 4 of their last 5 games overall and 8 consecutive played on a neutral site. Meanwhile, the Huskies are under in 8 of 9 overall and 13 of 16 games played on a Wednesday.

Washington State comes into opening round of the conference tournament with records of 13-18 SU and 15-12-1 ATS.  The Cougars offense ranks 251st in the country, scoring an average of 64.5 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field. Defensively, they area holding opponents to fewer than 63 points per game (62.9), but they are allowing foes to shoot 42.7% against them on a nightly basis.

The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a game where they covered the spread and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win, but they are only 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played on a neutral site.

Washington enters this opening round with records of 17-14 SU and 16-13 ATS. The Huskies feature an offense that averages 67.4 points per game on 43.4% shooting. On defense, the Huskies are surrendering 66.2 points per game and allowing opponents to shoot 43.1% from the field.

The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games that follow a game where they failed to cover the spread and an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. However, Washington is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games when facing a team with a losing SU record.

Check out my other Pac-12 pick for today here~ Colorado vs. Oregon State

The Pick

If history means anything, this contest favors Washington, as they are 16-11 in conference tournament history, while Washington State is just 5-13 all time. However, the Huskies offense is certainly something to be concerned about – especially since they scored less than 60 points seven times throughout this season, which is the most for them in 13 years.

[gameodds]14/224348/43/us[/gameodds]

With that said, the Huskies should have enough in their tank to get past the Cougars in this game, so laying the cheap -2 points is the right play to make to cash in a winning ticket.

Pac-12 Pick: Washington -2 at Bovada

 

 

 

 

 

 

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