NCAA Basketball Picks: Washington Holds More Value Than UCLA In Fast-Paced Affair

Kevin Stott

Thursday, January 28, 2016 12:31 PM UTC

Thursday, Jan. 28, 2016 12:31 PM UTC

We ook at the numbers & Trends for Washington vs. UCLA to discover the best NCAA basketball picks available for this potential Pacific-12 hardwood thriller.

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Final Score Prediction: UCLA 88 Washington 87
Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Washington +7
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Andrew Andrews and Washington head down the Pacific coast to Los Angeles and historic Pauley Pavilion on Thursday night to face the Bruins in their second Pac-12 Conference meeting of the season. With the Huskies winning the first meeting at Home at Alaska Airlines Arena at Hec Edmundson Pavilion in Seattle, 99-96 in OT earlier this month, can we expect UCLA and the sharp-shooting Bryce Alford to bounce back tonight?


Odds Overview
Washington at UCLA: (13-6, 5-2 Pac-12) head down the Pacific coast to Los Angeles and historic Pauley Pavilion on Thursday night to face host UCLA (12-8, 3-4 Pac-12) in a huge Pac-12 Conference showdown and big spot for the host Bruins. On Wednesday afternoon, NCAA basketball odds boards Offshore opened with UCLA as 6-point favorites (Bookmaker) with the Total (Points) for this game opening up at 168 (Bookmaker).


Washington Huskies
Washington (11-9 ATS, 11-6 O/U) and 13th-year Head Coach Lorenzo Romar head into this game at UCLA tied atop the Pac-12 Conference—but 2/3rds of the conference was either in 1st place or a game out in the Loss column heading into play on Thursday—but off a Loss to Utah at Home in Seattle in their last game, 80-75, in OT. In that game, the Huskies were led in scoring by G Andrew Andrews (17 points), F Marquese Chriss (15 points) and F Noah Dickerson (14 points) while staring G Dejounte Murray had 13 rebounds and had 6 assists. The Huskies also got 18 points of their Bench against the Utes from G David Crisp (6 points), F Donovan Dorsey (5 points), F Malik Dime (4 points) and F Dominic Green (3 points), but Washington (84.5 AF-78.9 AA) was a dismal 6-for-26 (23.1%) from 3-Point Land in the setback. With a win already under their belts against UCLA, Andrews (21.7 ppg), Murray (6.4 rpg, 6.7 apg) and Washington (300/1 to win NCAA Championship, Bet365) can definitely go into Pauley Pavilion and come out with the win here, but without the Dawg Pound, the Bruins needing the victory right now more than the Huskies and fresh memories of that New Year’s Day OT loss dancing through their heads, UCLA should be ready for this one.


UCLA Bruins
In its last game, UCLA (7-13 ATS, 13-7 O/U) and Head Coach Steve Alford lost to #23 Oregon in Eugene, 86-72, as all five Bruins starters were in double digits—C Thomas Welsh (16 points), F Tony Parker (11 points), G Bryce Alford (11 points), G Isaac Hamilton (10 points) and G Aaron Holiday (19 points)—but UCLA got just 6 points from their Bench in 42 game minutes and fell to 3-4 in Pacific-10 Conference play. Like most teams in College Basketball, UCLA (150/1 to win NCAA Championship, Bet365) is much better at Home (9-2 SU) but gone are the glory days of legendary Head Coach and human John Wooden and Lew Alcindor (Kareem Abdul Jabbar) and coaches’ son Alford (16.7 ppg, 5.3 apg) and Parker (9.9 rpg) and the Bruins would just love to make the Big Dance—someway, somehow and that means winning from this point on—like everyone else this time of year when Football hibernates for the Spring and Summer. Here, UCLA (79.8 AF-77.7 AA) will need to get off to a good start and get the Home crowd into the game as a Loss will drop them to 3-5 in the conference and no matter how tight the league is right now, that would probably be enough to do the Bruins in with 5 L’s in Pac-12 play.


Best Betting Approaches & Recent Series Trends
UCLA is 6-2 ATS in the L8 meetings in this series (6-4 ATS L10) after that New Year’s Day OT loss both SU and ATS (UCLA -1, 159½), but Washington is 7-2 ATS their L9 games played in the Pac-12 Conference and the slumping Bruins are 3-7 ATS L10, so, small edge visitors? UCLA is 34-16-1 in its L51 games played on a Thursday (meaningless) while the Over is 7-1 in the L8 Bruins Home games (Over 6-1 L7 Bruins overall), including their last one, an 89-75 loss to crosstown rival USC at Pauley Pavilion on Jan. 14. And the Over is also a powerful 10-1 ATS the L11 Washington games, the lone Under coming by just 3 points in that 80-75 (Total 158) loss at Home in the Emerald City to Utah, so, with 16 Overs in their L18 combined games, taking the Over seems logical, especially seeing that the L3 meetings in this series have all gone Over (by 24, 13 and 29½ points). Points will be scored, a fast pace will be present, and just by the way things have been going this season, even though UCLA has W3 SU here at Home against the Huskies, this might be a decent spot to consider the Road underdog Huskies on the Money Line for a small NCAA basketball pick for a potential healthy payback when that market opens up, as this really seems like a game Washington thinks they can win. And the Huskies can, but holding one or two of Parker, Alford, Hamilton and Welsh down will be necessary to pull off the upset, and that will take some doing. This is (another) big test and could almost be considered a “must-win” for the host Bruins and this one should be close throughout and could have a very dramatic ending.

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