NCAA Basketball Picks: Virginia vs. Miami

PJ Laferla

Tuesday, February 19, 2013 4:15 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 19, 2013 4:15 PM UTC

The No. 2 Miami Florida Hurricanes play host to the visiting Virginia Cavaliers; and while both teams will be fighting hard to get a win, find out which team we believe will beat the college basketball odds in this ACC conference rivalry matchup.

ACC Showdown: Virginia at Miami Florida

The Virginia Cavaliers (18-7 SU, 3-6 ATS away) will be on the road this Tuesday evening, but it won’t be easy for them, as they are forced to face the Miami Florida Hurricanes (21-3 SU, 9-2 ATS home), who are ranked number 2 in the country and are also riding a 13-game winning streak coming into this classic ACC showdown.

This contest is scheduled to tip of at 9:00 PM EST from the BankUnited Center in Coral Gables, Florida and can be seen live on television, with broadcast coverage provided by ESPNU.

We have forecasted the home team to be laying the chalk in this one and the NCAA Basketball odds agree, as Miami Florida is listed as -7 point favorites, which could be good news for bettors siding with the Hurricanes given their stellar 14-3 ATS record in their last 17 games played at the BankUnited Center.

Both teams feature stingy defenses that are among the best in the nation, which explains why the over/under total is coming in at just 116 ½ points.

Virginia is holding opponents to 54 points per game, but they have actually eclipsed the total in their last five games played on the road.

Meanwhile, the Miami Hurricanes owns the 25th ranked defense in the nation, as they are giving up fewer than 59 points per game (58.7). The results have translated into six of their last nine games played at home to stay under the posted total, as well as 13 of its last 19 overall.

The Cavaliers have been a poor road team against the spread, as they are only 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games during their travels, but the away team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between Virginia and Miami Florida.

Besides boasting a sensational ATS record at home, the Hurricanes area 12-0 SU in conference play and have covered the point spread in 8 of its last 9 following an ATS loss. Furthermore, they are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.


The Pick

The Hurricanes lead the series 9-5 over Virginia, while the Cavaliers are winless in its last five trips to Miami. The Hurricanes are playing as good or better than any team in the country, and while this is an ACC rivalry matchup, and Virginia is a very good team, I expect they will have a tough time of it playing on the road tonight against Miami Florida.

When it comes to making your NCAA Basketball picks, lay the -7 points with Miami Florida in this one, as they will win straight up and cover the point spread in the process.

NCAAB Picks: Miami Florida -7

For more free betting selections, be sure to read our Tuesday Night NCAA Basketball Picks article.
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