NCAA Basketball Picks: Villanova vs. Cincinnati

PJ Laferla

Tuesday, February 12, 2013 4:25 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2013 4:25 PM UTC

Our college basketball pick of the night comes from the Big East Conference, as Villanova is set to face Cincinnati in matchup where we know both teams will be gunning for a victory, but which will prove to be the right pick for us bettors.

Let's breakdown this matchup to decide which team we should back in this conference rivalry game.

NCAAB Picks: Villanova vs. Cincinnati in Big East Action

The Villanova Wildcats (15-9 SU, 8-2 ATS away) will be on the road this Tuesday evening, as they face a Big East rival in the Cincinnati Bearcats (18-6 SU, 2-9 ATS home), which is a contest that is certain to be filled with tension and hostility from the opening tip off where both teams will be fighting to get the win.

The scheduled start time for this Big East Conference matchup is set for 8:00 PM EST from the Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio and can be seen live on television, with broadcast coverage provided by the Big East Network.

As is stands right now, NCAA Basketball odds makers have Cincinnati listed as -7 point favorites, which may be a bit inflated given their poor production at home.  If you are looking to add a play on the total, you will have to decide on going over or under 125 points.

For another play on this game check out our NCAA Basketabll Picks of the Day article.


Villanova Wildcats

Villanova comes into play tonight winners of two consecutive and four of the last six, but with a straight up record of 15-8, they find themselves in the middle of the pack in the Big East Conference.

However, the Wildcats have been a sensational team for us bettors this year.

They are 8-2 ATS when playing on the road, including point spread covers in six of their last eight, with one game ending in a push. Additionally, the Wildcats are a perfect 8-0 ATS after playing in a game they won straight up.

While going just 2-3 SU on the road in Big East Conference play this year, Villanova is 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups overall versus teams in their own conference.

Furthermore, Villanova has also covered the point spread in four of their last five matchups versus Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati will attempt to snap their current two-game skid, while also avoiding their first three-game losing streak of the season when they collide with Villanova on the court tonight in Big East Conference play.

The Bearcats recent struggles have also translated poor results for anyone backing them with their sports picks.

In fact, Cincinnati is just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games overall and versus Big East opponents. Even worse, they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games played at home and 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home when hosting a team with a winning record on the road.

The Total

However, on defense, the numbers are much farther apart, as Villanova is surrendering 65.2 points per game, while Cincinnati is holding opponents to just 58.8 per contest.Villanova is averaging exactly one point less on offense than Cincinnati for the season, as they are scoring 69.5 points per game compared to 70.5 by the Bearcats.

With that said, Villanova is under in five of their last six games played on the road and 11 of 14 overall.

Meanwhile, Cincinnati is under in 21 of their last 28 games overall and 23 of their last 32 matchups played at home.

The Pick

While -7 points might not sound like a lot, it is too much for the Bearcats to be laying in this contest, as I believe Villanova will keep this matchup close throughout the game.

Taking Villanova at +7 will punch your ticket at the betting window this evening.

NCAAB Picks: Villanova +7
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