NCAA Basketball Picks: Utah vs. Oregon

PJ Laferla

Friday, March 15, 2013 4:01 PM GMT

Over the past couple days the Pac-12 tournament has brought us some surprises and Utah will look to continue that trend tonight when they battle Oregon.

Pac-12 Tournament Pick: UTAH vs. Oregon

Can the Utes pull off another upset with a win over the Ducks, or will the favorites cruise to victory in this one? Find out which team we are selecting beat the college basketball odds.

They will play in the semifinals of the Pac-12 college basketball tournament, with tip off set for 11:30 PM EST from the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada

Most high-profile Sportsbooks, including Bookmaker have Oregon listed as -7 ½ point favorites in this contest. However, the Ducks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games played on neutral territory, while the Utes own a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four contests at an unprejudiced setting.

The over/under total is coming in at a very low 127 points, which could indicate we are in store for a low scoring affair; but these teams have eclipsed the number in their last five consecutive head to head meetings.

How They Reached The Semis?

Utah got to this point by beating California by a score of 79-69, winning the game outright as +8 point underdogs and a tenth seeded team in the tournament

Oregon was able to defeat Washington by a score of 80-77, but the number 3 seeded team disappointed bettors as they fell short by a hook, needing to win by four to earn the cover.

Inside The Numbers

The Utes are a very impressive 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when facing Pac-12 foes. Additionally, Utah is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 matchups that follow a game where they earned a point spread cover. Utah is over in four of their last five overall and six straight played on a Friday.

The Ducks own dismal against the spread numbers, including 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last four following a SU win and 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups played on a Friday. Oregon is over in 4 of their last 5 overall, but under in 10 of their last 14 games after a SU win.

[gameodds]14/224745/43/us[/gameodds]

The Pick

Utah has certainly earned some bragging rights for reaching the semifinals of the Pac-12 tournament, but tonight Oregon will handle its business for our NCAAB picks and take care of the Utes, while advancing to the title game.

NCAA Pick: Oregon -7 ½ at Bookmaker