NCAA Basketball Picks: Use Capper Set Line to Get Upper Hand on Books in Baylor vs. West Virginia

Jeff Grant

Saturday, February 7, 2015 3:20 PM GMT

Baylor and West Virginia are virtual mirror images of each other, which provides betting value to the home team in this Big 12 matchup Saturday afternoon.

Balanced
All five of Baylor’s starters average between 8.4 and 11.8 points per game, which is important to consider when looking over SBR's live college basketball odds, while reserve Taurean Prince leads the squad with 12.1 points a contest.

The Bears started the season winning or tying in second-chance points against their first 19 opponents, but they’ve lost that important statistical category in their last three games.

It’s important to point out that seven different players have led the school in scoring in 2014-15, with Rico Gathers leading the charge in five affairs.

College basketball handicappers will find that the Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five Big 12 Conference games.

 

Bouncing Back
West Virginia hasn’t lost back-to-back games this season, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA Basketball picks, as it suffered a 71-52 defeat to the Oklahoma Sooners as 5.5-point road underdogs Tuesday.

The Mountaineers played without the services of Devin Williams due to an illness in Norman—leaving a big void in the lineup with the sophomore averaging 11.3 points and 8.0 rebounds on the year.

Fans that visit the WVU Coliseum Saturday will keep a close eye on the scoreboard, as its favorite team has won all 16 games this season when holding opponents to 69 or fewer points.

 

Life On the Road
Baylor Bears are 6-16 SU on the road versus ranked opponents the last eight seasons, which is far better than their forgettable 2-65 mark in that situation before that period.

Baylor is averaging just 63.0 points on 38 percent shooting on the road—playing a big part in its 1-2-1 ATS record away from home in Big 12 play.

 

Plenty of Opportunities
The Mountaineers have taken 377 more shots than their opponents this season, as they lead the nation in steals and offensive rebounds.

West Virginia needs a huge performance out of Big 12 Preseason Player of the Year Juwan Staten, who is averaging 14.8 points and 3.1 rebounds per game.

The senior scored 16 points on 6 of 16 shooting from the field in a 88-75 setback to Baylor as three-point home favorites in the last meeting in this series.

 

Outlook
I’ve developed a handicapper line favoring the Mountaineers by 2.5 points, which means sports bettors should lay the points at a number below that level, while backing the Bears at +3 or higher.