NCAA Basketball Picks: Underdog Value Found On Tulsa +10 vs. Cincinnati

Jake Walker

Saturday, January 2, 2016 11:50 AM GMT

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (8-5) visit the No. 22 Cincinnati Bearcats (10-4) at Fifth Third Arena. Cincinnati is a 10-point favorite on the NCAA Basketball odds board.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Tulsa +10
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Tulsa looks to get back on track after last Tuesday's 81-69 loss at No. 17 SMU. James Woodard led the Golden Hurricane with 22 points, followed by Shaquille Harrison with 15 points. Tulsa shot 44.1 percent, but their usually strong defense couldn't stop an SMU team that led for the final 36 minutes of the game.

Offensively, Tulsa averages 76.2 points per game on 45.6 percent shooting and they allow 70.9 points per game, limiting opponents to 42.0 percent shooting. Shaquille Harrison averages team-bests with 17.7 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 2.1 steals and James Woodard adds 16.5 points and 4.9 rebounds.

 

Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games at home, 81-79 against No. 11 Iowa State on December 22 and 77-70 against Temple last Tuesday. Temple dominated the closing minutes of that game, taking advantage of Cincinnati's inconsistent defense by shooting 50 percent from the field, matching their season-high with 10 3-pointers. Troy Caupain led Cincinnati with a season-high 19 points.

The Bearcats score 77.6    points per game and they shoot 45.7 percent from the floor. Defensively, Cincinnati allows 62.2 points per game and their oppenents are shooting just 38.2 percent. Farad Cobb leads the team with 11.7 points per game. Troy Caupain is averaging 11.4 points, 4.6 assists and 1.1 steals and Gary Clark adds 9.8 points and 7.9 rebounds.


Betting Trends
Tulsa is 2-0 ATS in away games, 2-2 ATS as an underdog and 4-1 ATS after an ATS loss. Cincinnati on the other hand is 1-4 ATS in home games, 1-4 ATS as a home favorite and 0-2 ATS after a SU loss.


Final Analysis
NCAA Basketball odds makers favor Cincinnati by 10 points. Both teams are winless in conference play and they're coming off tough losses, so they will have a renewed sense of urgency, making this a must-watch game. Cincinnati has played poorly on both sides of the floor, particularly on defense, and Tulsa has enough weapons on offense to exploit that and keep the game close. I like Tulsa +10 for my NCAA Basketball picks