NCAA Basketball Picks: UNC vs. Miami

Jeff Grant

Sunday, March 17, 2013 12:22 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 17, 2013 12:22 PM UTC

The Miami Hurricanes will be playing in their first conference tournament championship in school history Sunday, as they try to beat the North Carolina Tar Heels for a third time. Where are we looking to place our College Basketball picks in this matchup?

Let’s take a closer look at the College basketball odds for the ACC Championship game, with the opening tip at the Greensboro Coliseum scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Let SBR be your 2013 NCAA Tournament betting headquarters.

Peaking at the right time

North Carolina has won eight of its last nine games, including a 79-76 victory over the Maryland Terrapins as 4.5-point neutral-site favorites Saturday, while going OVER the total for a second consecutive contest. 

The Tar Heels are 17-8 straight up (SU) and 8-14-3 against the spread (ATS) in all tournament games over the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 12-10 in that situation.

Back on track

Miami lost a bit of its focus in dropping three of its last five regular-season games, but has taken care of business in covering the spread in both of its tournament games, including an 81-71 victory over NC State as two-point favorites in the semifinals.

The Hurricanes are 20-4 SU and 16-6-2 ATS when taking on a team with a winning record, while the UNDER is 11-6 in that situation.

Quite a disparity

College basketball handicappers have landed on the Hurricanes in the early wagering, which isn’t very surprising, as they won and covered the number in both regular-season meetings against the Tar Heels.

Miami covered the spread by a combined 31.5 points in those contests, but it’s still important to note that the program is still just 4-18 in this series overall.

Familiar surroundings

The Tar Heels are making their 32nd appearance in the ACC Tournament final, which is a major angle for some to consider in potentially backing the underdog in this spot.  North Carolina owns an all-time record of 90-41 in this particular event.

It’s quite a disparity between these two programs, as Miami lands in its first-ever title game as a member of this conference.  The Hurricanes also earned their first outright regular season conference championship in coach Jim Larranaga’s second year.



In shooting an SBR video Saturday afternoon, I recommended that readers should add the Hurricanes to their NCAA Basketball picks as 1.5-point neutral-site favorites, as the roster is focused on gaining respect nationally.

North Carolina is dangerous as a revenge-minded team in this spot, but Miami will improve to 23-10 ATS in its last 23 neutral site games.

College Basketball Pick:  Miami Hurricanes -1.5

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