NCAA Basketball Picks: Two Top Underdog Picks for Saturday Night

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, March 5, 2016 2:48 PM GMT

Our analyst shares his two top underdog NCAA basketball picks on Saturday’s card. He’s been a rock solid 10-6 (63%) with his underdog picks over the past seven betting days.

Georgia Southern vs. UL-Lafayette
UL-Lafayette has been slumping terribly during this final stretch of the regular season. They’ve lost five of its last six games, and is shooting just 39.0% in their previous five games. Lafayette was 11-0 at home this season before going 0-2 SU&ATS in the last two.

Georgia Southern will be playing with revenge stemming from a 9 point home loss to UL-Lafayette earlier this season. Since that defeat, they’ve gone 10-6 straight up, and an extremely profitable 13-3 ATS . Georgia Southern has converted on 38.9% of its three point attempts, held its opponents to 66.4 points per game, and limited them to 40.5% shooting over their previous five contests.

The current NCAA basketball odds boards at Pinnacle provides me with a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Georgia Sourthern +10
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Fresno State vs. Utah State
Utah State has won their last two games over Air Force and San Jose State. Prior to those victories, they had struggled through a 2-7 nine game stretch. Putting those last two recent wins into perspective, they came against the bottom two teams in the Mountain West Conference standings. Air Force and San Jose State are a combined 8-26 (.235) in games against conference opponents this season.

Fresno State comes into tonight’s game with plenty of momentum. The Bulldogs have won five straight and seven of its last eight games. This impressive surge has catapulted them to a 12-5 conference record which is good for second place in the Mountain West. During their recent five game win streak, Fresno State is averaging 79.4 points scored per game, shot 48.2%, and made an outstanding 41.9% of their three point attempts. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS and 4-2 straight up in their last six games as an underdog. This is a veteran team which returned all 5 starters from a season ago, and that’s been a huge contributing factor in them playing its best basketball of the season at this present time.

There’s not a lot of wiggle room in this line pertaining to the underdog. Obviously I believe their chances of winning outright today are very good. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus when making my NCAA basketball picks for Saturday.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Fresno State +3
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes