NCAA Basketball Picks: Tuesday Picks of the Day

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, January 28, 2014 3:43 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2014 3:43 PM GMT

Tonight there are two favorites that stick out as good college basketball value plays. Which teams are we backing with our NCAA basketball picks?

Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers

Hoping to notch their fourth straight win, the Wildcats travel to the Big Easy to take on the Tigers in another SEC battle.

As of now, Kentucky is favored by three points at the top online sportsbooks, with the O/U trading at either 144.5 or 145.

John Calipari's team has won three in a row and six of seven ahead of this road game in New Orleans. During that span they've overcome some quality teams in Louisville (73-66), Tennessee (74-66) and even Belmont (93-80).

LSU is coming off a 80-82 road loss to Alabama and will come in with an even 3-3 SU (1-2-3 ATS) record in conference play.

The Wildcats know they will have their hands full with Johnny O'Bryant III tonight, but they are one of the few SEC teams out there that has the size to contend. Wilie Cauley-Stein and Julius Randle are a very talented duo inside and that should serve them well matchup-wise against LSU's best player.

Overall, it seems like Kentucky is figuring out how to more effectively defensively – over their last five contests they've allowed 64.0 PPG on 39.7 percent shooting overall and 28.6 percent from three. Contrast that to LSU and their statistics (73.4 PPG allowed, 42.3 percent overall, 40.2 percent from three) and you can see a clear advantage for the Wildcats.

Kentucky has won five straight in this head-to-head series and we're picking them to show up and make it six in a row tonight. Back the Wildcats as one of your NCAA basketball picks tonight.

Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -3

[gameodds]14/256136/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

St. John's Red Storm vs. Creighton Bluejays

Creighton is more than holding their own in their first season in the Big East. They've lost just one time (to Providence) in conference action and will enter tonight's matchup on the heels of consecutive wins over Villanova (96-68) and Georgetown (76-63).

There appears to be no level of chalk the Bluejays can't cover. They've already smashed plenty of large college basketball lines and they'll come in with an extremely profitable 13-5 ATS mark.

Meanwhile, the Red Storm are 12-8 SU but a poor 6-12 against the spread coming into this one. That could explain why Creighton is favored by 12.5 to 13 points in the NCAA basketball odds.

St. John's is on a little bit of a roll, but they've benefited from a reprieve in the schedule. Their three straight wins have come over Dartmouth, Seton Hall and Butler. Still, not a bad way to respond after five consecutive losses prior.

D'Angelo Harrison has been trying to do it all for the Red Storm. He leads the team in scoring at 17.8 points per game and is averaging close to 32 minutes a contest heading into tonight's battle on the road. Jakarr Sampson (12.6 PPG and 6.4 RPG) has been a top contributor as well.

We just don't see St. John's being able to keep up with a tremendous offensive team in Creighton though.

In the end, we think it's wise to side with the Bluejays, who are 7-2 ATS on their home court this year, to cover against a Red Storm squad that's covered in only two of their eight contests away from home so far.

Pick: Creighton Bluejays -12.5

[gameodds]14/256135/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]
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