NCAA Basketball Picks: A Trio Of Underdog Plays To Start Winning Big

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, February 23, 2016 3:07 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 23, 2016 3:07 PM UTC

Our college basketball analyst shares his top three underdog plays on Tuesday’s card. Let us assist you in making a big profit today with our free NCAA basketball picks.

Temple Owls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane 7:00 PM ET
Temple has won six of their last seven games, and their only defeat during that stretch came versus top ranked Villanova. The Owls are a superb 6-1 in conference road games this season. They’re also a very profitable 13-5 ATS (72.2%) this season when facing an opponent with a winning record.

Temple connected on 11 three-pointers in their 4 point home win over Tulsa in these teams first encounter. That’s been an issue for Tulsa recently. The Golden Hurricane has allowed opponents to make good on 39% of their three point attempts over its previous five games. Tulsa has lost three games at home this season, including defeats at the hands of Oral Roberts and Arkansas-Little Rock.

It’s hard to ignore Temple’s success on the road versus fellow American Athletic Conference teams this season. In addition, this is an Owls team which has been battle tested. They’ve faced non-conference opponents the likes of #7 North Carolina, #22 Utah, Saint Joe’s (22-5), Butler (18-9), and Wisconsin (17-10). I’m siding with the road underdog for one of my Tuesday NCAA basketball picks.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2938029, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Temple +6.5 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes


Ball State Cardinals vs. Toledo Rockets 8:00 PM ET
Ball State has quietly been playing terrific basketball of late. The Cardinals are 5-1 in its last six games, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous three outings. They’ve also been very successful in recent road games, winning each of its last three in that role, and five of their previous six away contests. Their defensive play during the past five games has been outstanding. During that stretch, Ball State has held opponents to 64.2 points per game and 38.2% shooting.

Toledo is 0-2 SU&ATS in its last two games, and has gone just 3-3 straight up in conference home games this season. The Rockets have been terrible at defending the three point line all year, allowing opponents to convert on 39.3% of those attempts, and that includes 41.2& during their previous five contests. That looms as a major concern for tonight’s matchup, considering Ball State has made 38.1% of its three point shots over its previous five outings.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2948422, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Ball State +8
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Michigan State Spartans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes 9:00 PM ET
If you’re expecting me to poke holes and expose flaws in the game of #6 Michigan State that’s not going to happen. They’ve been a red-hot shooting team recently, and appear to be playing as expected before the season began. If there’s a negative note, the Spartans have lost three conference road games against Purdue, Wisconsin, and Iowa. The point being, they’re not invincible on the road, and are especially vulnerable in terms of covering as a road favorite of this size.

Ohio State is a very young but talented team. They started the season by going 4-5, and have since gone 14-5 in its previous nineteen games. They enter Tuesday’s contest against #6 Michigan State riding a four game win streak, and have gone 6-1 in conference home games thus far. Their lone Big Ten Conference home defeat came by a narrow 5 point margin versus #10 ranked Maryland. The Buckeyes have been outstanding defensively this season, holding opponents to just 38.8% shooting, and an even better 36.6% at home.

There’s plenty of hidden home underdog value pertaining to this matchup. According to current NCAA basketball odds at, they provide me with the best number for this specific wager.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936579, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Ohio State +6.5 
Best Line Offered: at  Heritage

comment here