Fast becoming one of the best list of games to fade on the college basketball betting card, our handicapper is back with his picks for the top underdogs on Tuesday's schedule.
It certainly hasn't been how I envisioned my free NCAA basketball picks to go with a loss of more than eight units only 17 picks into the 2014-15 schedule. Still, at least the honest record is out there for all to see, which is more than I can say for some of the handicappers one finds on the innerweb these days.
Making excuses such as bad beats or backdoor covers is not my style, nor is giving up an option meaning we can climb right back into the black or be down 50 units by the end of the season. It's up to you to fade or follow along.
Some have suggested that maybe I'm overanalyzing the games; others have noted that I do not possess the brainpower to overanalyze anything. With that in mind -- or is that out of mind? -- here are three underdogs to ponder on Tuesday's NCAA basketball odds.
Davidson vs. Virginia (-16½)
Definitely one to consider fading since I've been wrong about the Virginia Cavaliers twice already this season. ESPNU will stream their final tune-up before a tough ACC schedule ahead, and the Davidson Wildcats are expected to be their next victim.
Virginia remains 16½ point chalk as first reported by SBR's live college basketball odds, and early totals are sneaking out around 134.
Bob McKillop has another fine squad at Davidson this year, and one that has already proven itself outside the friendly confines of Charlotte's suburbs. The Wildcats have won all three of their true road tests, covering each of the victories over Central Florida, Montana and Charleston.
Tony Bennett's bunch has certainly proven themselves as well by reeling off 11 wins to begin the campaign, the most recent a complete annihilation of Harvard last Sunday when the Cavs limited the Crimson to just 27 points on 8-of-50 shooting from the field. I've been wrong to take the visitors and the points against UVa two times, but remain convinced this Davidson crew can stay within the number tonight.
Mercer vs. Texas A&M (-13)
My Texas Aggies surprised me on the gridiron yesterday with a solid win over West Virginia in Memphis, and the hoops squad now has the chance to prove me wrong again when the Mercer Bears visit College Station. Tip-off at Reed Arena is a little past 8 PM (ET) with the SEC Network providing coverage, and Texas A&M is giving up 12½ to 13 points depending where one shops for college basketball betting lines.
Part of the shock for me in the Aggies' win over the Mountaineers at the Liberty Bowl was the abundance of offense generated by quarterback Kyle Allen, especially the ground attack. We shouldn't have to worry about the offense on the hardwood tonight given head coach Billy Kennedy's preferred style of play. Texas A&M ranks in the middle third of the nation in scoring (71.8 ppg), and not the type of team that will run you to death putting up points nor a bunch that likes to jack up 3-pointers (15.1 attempts per game).
While A&M is still a week away from its first Southeastern Conference matchup, the Aggies will be the 3rd-straight SEC foe for Mercer. The first two -- at Tennessee and at Georgia -- each went into the loss column for Bob Hoffman's bunch, but the win column for college basketball bettors. The Bears took Georgia to three overtimes last Saturday, and while I see the Aggies collecting their 200th win inside Reed Arena, I'm taking the visitors and the points for my free pick.
UC Santa Barbara (-1) vs. Oregon State
One of the last games on Tuesday's college basketball betting board pits the Gauchos of UC Santa Barbara against the Oregon State Beavers. The tilt is slated for a tip a little past 9:30 PM (ET) at Gill Coliseum in Corvallis, and the Pac-12 Network will broadcast OSU's final non-conference contest before league action begins this weekend.
SBR's live NCAA basketball odds sent the Gauchos out as 1 point road chalk with very little action either way since the lines appeared. I'm simply taking the point on the home team for this battle between a pair of average squads. How's that for not overanalyzing a free college hoops pick?
Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Davidson +16.5; Mercer +13; Oregon State +1
Season: 5-12 (-8.20)