NCAA Basketball Picks: Thursday Night Sweet 16 Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, March 28, 2013 12:09 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 28, 2013 12:09 PM UTC

The 2013 NCAA tournament takes center stage in the world of sports Thursday night, as the Sweet 16 gets underway. Find out where we believe that the best value lies for our NCAA Basketball picks tonight.

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for two games that I find value in, while offering up an against-the-spread pick in each.

Arizona Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Arizona was one of the more impressive teams in the tournament last week, as they picked up convincing victories over Harvard (74-51) and Belmont (81-64) ad 10.5 and 4.5-point favorites respectively.

The Wildcats are 15-6 against the spread (ATS) as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 14-7 in that situation.  It’s important to note that the program tipped off getting points just once during the 2012-13 campaign—coming away with a 65-64 victory over the Florida Gators on Dec. 15.

Ohio State advanced past two teams that rely heavily on the 3-point shot, as it tallied wins over Iowa State (78-75) and Iona (95-70) as 7.5 and 15-point favorites respectively.

The Buckeyes are playing in their fourth consecutive Sweet 16, but they haven’t played on the West Coast in quite some time, with their second and third round games in this year’s Big Dance taking place at the University of Dayton. 

I established the Buckeyes as 1.5-point neutral-site favorites in this affair, which provides the Wildcats with considerable value for our NCAA Basketball picks tonight.

NCAA Tournament Pick:  Arizona Wildcats +4 at Bovada


Indiana Hoosiers vs. Syracuse Orange

Indiana has been widely considered the top team nationally throughout the season, as it picked up wins over Temple (58-52) and James Madison (83-62) to reach the second week of action.

The Hoosiers earned one of four No. 1 seeds in the tournament due to being the Big Ten Conference regular season champions, while ranking second nationally in scoring margin by outscoring foes by an average of 17.3 points

College basketball handicappers may have a hard time laying this type of number at the Verizon Center, considering the Hoosiers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games on a neutral floor.

Syracuse had very little trouble advancing to this stage with a pair of wins in San Jose, CA, which included a 66-60 victory over the California Golden Bears as six-point neutral-site favorites in the Round of 32.

The Orange will rely heavily on their 2-3 zone on the defensive end, but the Hoosiers should be properly prepared due to the amount of time they’ve had since their win over the Owls Sunday. 

From a sports betting trend perspective, the Orange are also 0-6 ATS in their last six games on a neutral floor with a total between 135 and 139.5, which signifies they struggle against strong offensive teams.

NCAA Tournament Pick:  Indiana Hoosiers -5 at Sports Interaction


Before placing your picks, take a look at our NCAA Tournament Betting: Sweet 16 Seeding Trends.

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