NCAA Basketball Picks Of The Day: Trends To Bet Small Schools

Mark Lathrop

Monday, January 11, 2016 11:38 AM GMT

Monday, Jan. 11, 2016 11:38 AM GMT

Our NCAA basketball odds handicapper has gone deep into mid-major conference action to find the best NCAA basketball picks for your Monday night. Join us and find out which ones.

This Monday we are going to have to dig deep for our NCAA basketball picks, all the way to the Southern Conference and Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference who has a slate of games tonight. Some of these mid-major conferences have little known trends that can be profitable, if you take the time to look and browse the available NCAA basketball odds.

 

VMI Keydets vs. East Tennessee State Buccanneers
This matchup is interesting in that these two teams have played each other twice within the last year. Each of those games were very high scoring, coming in at 166 and 164 in a home-and-home series.

VMI has had a little trouble scoring lately, averaging 56.7 points per game since Southern Conference play began over three games. In those games though they have certainly faced a stiffer defense than they will see tonight, as East Tennessee State is ranked 306th in the nation in home defense giving up 75.1 points per game.

Let’s add in the fact that East Tennessee State averages 89.9 points per game at home. Even though VMI has shot poorly lately, it is likely that this game turns into the track meets that dominated last year’s matchups. Take advantage of VMI’s recent cold streak to take Over on a total that is shaded a bit too low based on recent games.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Over 145
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Chattanooga Moccasins vs. Wofford Terriers
Wofford was the Southern Conference representative to the NCAA Tourney last season, coming in as a respectable 12 seed. What they got for that was a non-conference schedule full of major conference power houses. Wofford didn’t quite cut it this time around, going 3-9 coming into conference play. But, the underclassmen of Wofford definitely cut their teeth on some stiff competition.

Now that we are in conference play, Wofford has stepped down in class and is whooping up on conference foes. Their biggest competition this year appears to be the Chattanooga Moccasins, who come into this game with a fantastic 13-3 record and 53rd RPI ranking.

However, when a team is 23-2 SU in their last 25 games at home, and are somehow catching points, I’m gong to take them. Chattooga is also coming off of a 15-point loss as a 5-point road favorite at Furman. Wofford improves on their 2-0 ATS record at home tonight, if not outright wins this game.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Wofford +2.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Monmouth Hawks vs. Fairfield Stags
Monmouth comes into this game ranked 25th in RPI, and has wins this year over UCLA, Notre Dame, and USC. Do you really think that the Hawks will make it close against the Stags, who come in ranked 177th?

Possibly, as Fairfield is only 1-3 SU in this series but has a perfect 4-0 ATS spread record. Monmouth has missed covering the spread in those four games by 2.5, .5, 2.5, and 1 point margins. These were nail biters for anyone who had a wager on those games.

Watch for 5’ 8” junior, Justin Robinson in this matchup. The vertically challenged guard is leading the Hawks with 20.5 points per game and should be hard to miss.

Fairfield is coming off of a game in which they won by only 5 points even after being gifted 14 turnovers by Rider. This experienced Monmouth squad won’t give them that same luxury. Monmouth has been blowing out teams lately, and this game should follow that same trend.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Monmouth -5.5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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