NCAA Basketball Picks Of The Day: Top Saturday Evening Plays ATS

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, February 20, 2016 1:47 AM UTC

Saturday, Feb. 20, 2016 1:47 AM UTC

I realize that Big Ten teams can't play every other conference foe twice, but shouldn't Purdue and Indiana be mandated to do so? Not this year, but they face off Saturday. Here are my top picks for later games with Heritage's NCAA Basketball odds.

No. 17 Purdue vs. No. 22 Indiana (-4)
Indiana (21-6, 11-3) finds itself back in first-place tie atop the Big Ten thanks to Iowa's upset loss to Penn State earlier this week. The Hoosiers kept their home record unblemished this season with an 80-64 win over Nebraska on Wednesday, proving ready for March Madness. Troy Williams, who was scoreless in IU's loss to Michigan State last week, bounced back with a team-high 18 points (on 8-for-9 shooting) against the Cornhuskers. Coach Tom Crean told Williams he wanted more aggression from him. After being down six at the 5:09 mark in the first half, Indiana outscored Nebraska by 22 the rest of the way. IU is 15-0 at Assembly Hall for the first time in nine years. Purdue (21-6, 19-5) is looking for a Top 4 seed in the conference tournament and a bye. The Boilers have alternated wins and losses over their past five. They beat visiting Northwestern 71-61 on Tuesday. A.J. Hammons had his league-leading eighth double-double with 18 points and 12 rebounds. After being outrebounded for the first time this season in last Saturday's loss to Michigan, Purdue killed Northwestern on the boards, 45-24. The Boilermakers have matched last year’s win total.

Indiana will beat the NCAA Basketball odds, breaking a three-game losing streak in the series. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in its past four road games. The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their past six at home.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Indiana -3.5 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Ohio State vs. Nebraska (-2.5)
The Buckeyes are squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble at 17-10 overall and 9-5 in the Big Ten but they have a chance to get in the Big Dance. Winning this game at blah Nebraska (14-13, 6-8) is a must, however, because following this OSU faces No. 8 Michigan State twice and plays No. 4 Iowa. So win three of the final four, including this one, and Ohio State will be looking pretty good. OSU enters on a three-game winning streak and beat visiting Michigan 76-66 on Tuesday night. Five players scored in double figures for OSU, led by Marc Loving, who had 13 points and 10 rebounds. OSU won for just the second time in 12 games this year when it was outrebounded. But the Buckeyes shot 54 percent from the field, their second-best percentage of the season. Nebraska lost by 16 at Indiana on Wednesday night. The team again played without senior forward Shavon Shields. He missed a third straight game with a concussion. He's not expected to return Saturday. Shields averages 15.7 points and 5.0 rebounds per game. This is the only scheduled meeting between OSU and Nebraska. The Buckeyes won last year's matchup by 24 in Columbus.

Take Ohio State with your NCAA Basketball picks. The Buckeyes have been shaky on road but need this one. The Huskers are 1-4 ATS in their past five vs. teams with a winning record.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Ohio State +2
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


No. 2 Kansas vs. Kansas State (+4.5)
The Jayhawks (22-4, 10-3) now control their destiny to win another Big 12 regular-season title. If they win out, it's theirs. But after this there are still tough games at No. 25 Baylor, at No. 24 Texas and home to No. 13 Iowa State to close the regular season. It's possible KU could return to No. 1 in the polls with a win here and if current No. 1 Villanova falls at home to Butler on Saturday, which is unlikely but not impossible. Kansas enters off a 94-67 wipeout of visiting Oklahoma State on Monday, the Jayhawks' fifth straight win. That was payback for a 19-point loss earlier in the season in Stillwater. No school has ever had a home-and-home 12 regular-season sweep over Kansas in the Bill Self era. That's pretty impressive. Kansas State (15-11, 4-9) is playing for pride and as a spoiler at this point. The Wildcats ended a two-game losing streak with a 63-49 win at TCU on Tuesday. It was K-State's first Big 12 road win in 13 months. Leading scorer Wesley Iwundu had just five points in the win. On Feb. 3, KSU visited Kansas and lost 77-59. The Wildcats dominated on the boards, 36-21. But they also turned it over 23 times. K-State did upset No. 8 Kansas in Manhattan last year, 70-63.

Anything north of probably 7 and I'd lean K-State. Not here. KU is 6-0 ATS in its past six games. K-State is 2-5 ATS in its past seven.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Kansas -5.5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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