NCAA Basketball Picks Of The Day: Sunday's Leans On Top Home Faves

Kevin Stott

Sunday, January 17, 2016 1:18 PM GMT

Sunday’s slate offers enough games to find value. Let’s look at these three games and try to explain why these seem like legitimate NCAA basketball picks for a Winter Sunday in mid-January.

***2016 Super D's Of NCAA Basketball Betting***

Sunday, January 18, 2016
#4 Michigan State -5 vs. Wisconsin:
Wisconsin (9-9 SU, 6-12 ATS) welcomes Denzel Valentine and 4th-ranked Michigan State (16-2 SU, 10-7 ATS) to the Kohl Center in Madison on Sunday afternoon for this Big Ten matchup and key game for the Spartans who are coming off a tough Loss to Iowa at Home in East Lansing in their last game. NCAA basketball odds boards offshore have opened the visiting Spartans solid 5-point favorites (Heritage). The thought here is that the Spartans will be Mad after playing so poorly against the Hawkeyes and no doubt Head Coach Tom Izzo will light a fire under their sneakers. So, this seems like a tough spot for Wisconsin (12th in Big Ten) and head Coach Bo Ryan. Last year in this game, do-it-all senior G Valentine (16.7 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 6.7 apg) and Michigan State (3-2 in Big Ten) lost both meetings with the Badgers, the Big Ten Regular Season game here in Madison, 68-61, (WIS -9, 125) and the Big Ten Tournament game at a neutral site (Chicago), 8-69 in OT (WIS -7, 128). So, both games went Over the Total. But this year with the Badgers (1-4 in Big Ten) having lost both F Frank Kaminsky (Charlotte Hornets) and G Sam Dekker (Houston Rockets) to the NBA and Sparty having a stacked Roster led by Lansing native Valentine, F Matt Costello (7.6 rpg), F Deyonta Davis (66.7% FG), F Gavin Schilling (Chicago), G Matt McQuaid (0.6 spg) and G Bryn Forbes (13.7 ppg), this bunch of predominantly Michigan kids are really talented and will not want that third Loss in this spot. And Wisconsin (1-3 SU in Big Ten) is down this season, although the Badgers do have so solid starters in Nigel Hayes (15.8 ppg, 3.8 apg) and Ethan Happ (8.1 rpg, 55.8% FG, 1.1 bpg, 1.3 spg). The Trends favor MSU with the Spartans (79.1 PF-61.9 PA) an impressive 8-1 ATS the L9 in this series and Wisconsin (68.6 PF-64.2 PA) just 5-11 ATS in its L16 games overall. The Over is 7-3 in the L10 Michigan State games played on Sundays while the Under is 7-3 ATS in the L10 Spartans games overall, probably a little more significant although the over is 11-4 the L15 Wisconsin games here at Home at the Kohl Center in the capital of America’s Dairyland, Madison.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Michigan State -5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

#10 SMU vs. Tulane: Tulane (8-10 SU, 1-4 AAC) welcomes upstart and 10th-ranked SMU (16-0 SU, 4-0 AAC) to Devlin Fieldhouse in New Orleans on Sunday in a game in which the Mustangs can match their best start in school history. Head Coach Larry Brown and SMU (5-7 ATS) heard G Keith Frazier announce earlier this week that he would be transferring, but with a tight, small group of studs, the ineligible Mustangs are the only NCAA Division I unbeaten team and now knowing there will be no Madness in their March, are taking things out on opponents in January. SMU is in the Top 10 nationally in 3-Point shooting (43.7%), Field Goal percentage (52.1%) and Assists (19.0 apg) and have played some pretty good Defense, only allowing opponents 62.3 ppg. The Mustangs are led by Nic Moore (15.4 ppg), Sterling Brown (9.4 ppg) and Markus Kennedy and last season, the Mustangs defeated the Green Wave, 66-52, outrebounding Tulane, 41-30 in the season’s only meeting here as the hosts only shot 33.3% from the field. Tulane (7-5 ATS) got its first conference win of the season in its last outing, winning on the Road at South Florida, 81-70 as Dylan Osetkowski (10.8 ppg, 9.3 rpg) continued his torrid play (37 points, 28 rebounds L2 games), and Louis Dabney (13.2 ppg) had 19 for the Green Wave (5-4 SU at Home).
Tulane (0-31 SU L31 vs. Ranked opponents) will have to do everything right here and with Frazier now gone, SMU will want to show it can still outscore opponents with this tight-knit bunch. At Trend-Mart, SMU is 1-7 ATS in L8 Sunday games but the Mustangs are 7-3-1 ATS their L11 Road games while Tulane is 6-2 ATS the L8 in this series here at Home. But the Green Wave have created no waves of Green for their backers at the betting window as Tulane is just 5-12-1 ATS its L18 here at Devlin Fieldhouse in The Big Easy. As far as Totals, the under is 10-3 ATS the L13 Tulane dribbles on a Sunday while the Under is 21-8 ATS the L29 Green Wave Home games. With SMU so hot, playing a below average team and the Favorite 10-1 ATS the L11 meetings in this AAC series, riding Shake Milton (11.3 ppg), Jordan Tolbert (12.8 ppg) and SMU (81.4 PA-61.2 PA) to win by around 20 is the call.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: SMU -13½
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Oregon vs. Colorado: What looks like the best NCAA basketball pick of the bunch sees upstart Oregon (14-3 SU, 3-1 Pac-12) in Boulder on Sunday night to face Colorado (13-4 SU, 2-2 Pac-12) at the Coors Events Center in a big Pac-12 meeting for both sides. The Buffaloes and Head Coach Tad Boyle will be without the services of Xavier Johnson (Achilles, Out Indefinitely) but Colorado is 17-5 ATS its L22 games played on a Sunday and, like Utah, has proven that it can hang in hoops in this conference since moving over from the Big 12. Head Coach Dana Altman has his Ducks playing some really good basketball of late, and on Thursday, Oregon spanked Utah in Salt Lake City as around 6-point underdogs to improve to 3-2 in conference. Leading the way for Oregon (100/1 to win NCAA Basketball Championship, Ladbrokes) is Dillon Brooks (15.5 ppg), Chris Boucher (51.9% FG, 7.9 rpg), Elgin Cook and Casey Benson (3.1 apg) and the Ducks are 9-3 ATS in its L12 against the Pac-12 and Oregon is an impressive 17-7 ATS in their L24 lined games overall. The Under is 7-1 in Oregon’s L8 Road games and the Under has W4 straight in the L4 Ducks games—all since the start of Pac-12 conference play and this seems like a clear cut game to put fair-sized and equal amount wagers on both Oregon (-½) and the Under and see what happens. Hopefully, not Overtime.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Oregon -½; Under
Best Line Offered: at The Greek