NCAA Basketball Picks Of The Day: Midweek ATS Value Worth The Risk

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, January 27, 2016 11:43 AM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 27, 2016 11:43 AM UTC

The school atop the SEC standings right now? If you haven't been paying attention, it's not Kentucky, but Texas A&M. That said, let's review who will be in our NCAA basketball picks.

No. 5 Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (+3 On NCAA Basketball Odds)
Texas A&M brings a 10-game winning streak into this matchup and has won three straight by double digits. The Aggies (17-2, 7-0) lead the SEC by two games, but I think this team is fool's gold much like the football team was to start this past season in that sport. A&M has played only two ranked teams in Gonzaga (not ranked any more) and Baylor and has lost comfortably to unranked Syracuse and Arizona State. The winning streak is the longest for the school since the 2010-11 team had 13 straight. The A&M record is 19 in a row. That's not happening. There is one key injury to monitor for Texas A&M here and that's to excellent freshman center Tyler Davis. He sat out Saturday's 66-53 home win over Missouri with a foot injury. He is likely to return here. Davis averages 11.2 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Arkansas (9-10, 3-4) has had some tough luck lately in losing three straight, two by a combined five points. The Hogs lost 76-73 in overtime Saturday at Georgia. Arkansas was to get to OT as it trailed by six with 20 seconds left before Georgia went cold at the free-throw line. Anthlon Bell missed a desperation 3-pointer for Arkansas at the end of OT. Arkansas was clobbered at Texas A&M on Jan. 2, 92-69. The Aggies' Jalen Jones had a career-high 28 points. Davis had four points and six rebounds. Bell led Arkansas with 16 points. The Hogs have won seven straight home games in this series dating to 1986. They used to be conference foes with A&M in the old Southwest.

The Razorbacks have covered 20 of their past 29 at home vs. teams with a winning road record. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Arkansas +3
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Rutgers vs. Michigan (-23.5 In NCAA Betting)
This is easily the biggest spread on the NCAA basketball odds board as of this writing. Rutgers (6-14, 0-7 Big Ten) should be relegated to Division I-AA because it simply is overmatched in the Big Ten. The Scarlet Knights actually were competitive last time out, a 90-76 home loss to Iowa last Thursday, but they still have lost every conference game by at least that many. I think the very good Rutgers women's team might stay within 10 points of the men. If there's a bright spot, it's that Jonathan Laurent returned from four-game injury absence vs. Iowa and contributed 14 points. Rutgers needs the forward because three other frontcourt players are out for the season. Michigan (15-5, 5-2) hasn't had its best player, senior guard Caris LeVert, since Dec. 30 with a leg injury. He's getting closer but probably not going to return Wednesday as UM would surely prefer to rest him a bit more for a tougher opponent. LeVert averages 17.6 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists. The Wolverines enter off wins over Minnesota and at Nebraska. Michigan is 7-0 all-time vs. Rutgers. It was 79-69 in Ann Arbor in the 2014-15 regular-season finale.

I like to back up my NCAA basketball picks with betting trends. In all honesty, there are none to give that would say to pick Rutgers. I simply think Michigan will only win by 16 or so and that 23.5 points is too many. UM also might be looking ahead to Saturday's game at Madison Square Garden vs. Penn State. It's part of a doubleheader with the schools' hockey teams.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Rutgers +24
Best Line Offered: at GTBets


DePaul vs. Butler (-13.5 For NCAA Basketball Picks)
Butler (13-6, 2-5 Big East) fell out of the Top 25 on Monday as the Bulldogs were beaten last week at ranked Providence and on Saturday at Creighton, 72-64. The Bulldogs hit only 30.4 percent of their shots in the loss to the Bluejays and were without starting point guard Tyler Lewis. He suffered a concussion in practice last Thursday and is questionable here. He averages 7.0 points and 3.7 assists per game. In four of their five Big East losses (Providence twice, Villanova and Creighton) the Bulldogs led at halftime. DePaul (7-12, 1-6) ended a six-game losing streak with a 57-56 win at Marquette last Wednesday. Billy Garrett Jr. converted a 3-point play with 1.1 seconds left. The Demons haven't won back-to-back Big East road games in nine years. Butler has won four straight games against DePaul. The Bulldogs won 77-72 in Rosemont on Jan. 5. Leading scorer Kellen Dunham led Butler with 24 points. Myke Henry had 22 points and 10 rebounds for DePaul, which led by five with about nine minutes left.

The Blue Demons are 3-8 ATS in their past 11 Big East games. They are 1-6 ATS in their past seven following an ATS win. Butler is 4-1 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a losing record. 

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Butler -14
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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